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Should We Fear Russia?
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Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center

Should We Fear Russia?

The Cold War analogy is misleading. Relations between the West and Russia are certainly bad and dangerous now but they are bad and dangerous in new ways.

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By Dmitri Trenin
Published on Nov 15, 2016

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Source: Polity

Since the outbreak of the Ukraine crisis, there has been much talk of a new Cold War between the West and Russia.  Under Putin’s authoritarian leadership, Moscow is widely seen as volatile, belligerent and bent on using military force to get its way. 

In this incisive analysis, top Russian foreign and security policy analyst Dmitri Trenin explains why the Cold War analogy is misleading.  Relations between the West and Russia are certainly bad and dangerous but - he argues - they are bad and dangerous in new ways; crucial differences which make the current rivalry between Russia, the EU and the US all the more fluid and unpredictable.  Unpacking the dynamics of this increasingly strained relationship, Trenin makes a compelling case for handling Russia with pragmatism and care rather than simply giving into fear.

Advance Praise

“This rich and exceedingly well-written book considers whether the impasse in relations between Russia and the West is due to Putin’s ‘Realpolitik’ or whether it reflects Putin’s lack of realism about Russia’s true national interests. With Trenin we are in good hands. His lively analysis rewards its audience with a stimulating reading and learning experience.”
—Jack Snyder, Columbia University

“Dmitri Trenin is one of the most lucid analysts of Russia writing today. In this short but rich volume, he traces the recent history of misguided policy and conflicts of interest that have produced the current sharp deterioration in relations between Russia and the West. A ‘new normal’ has emerged, he argues. It is not a second Cold War but a period of new challenges and opportunities, in which seeing Russia clearly is critical to peace and security. To that end, there is no better place to start than this present essay.”
—Thomas Graham, Managing Director, Kissinger Associates; former Senior Director for Russia on the US National Security Council staff

About the Author

Dmitri Trenin

Former Director, Carnegie Moscow Center

Trenin was director of the Carnegie Moscow Center from 2008 to early 2022.

    Recent Work

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    Mapping Russia’s New Approach to the Post-Soviet Space

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    What a Week of Talks Between Russia and the West Revealed

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Dmitri Trenin
Former Director, Carnegie Moscow Center
North AmericaUnited StatesRussiaWestern EuropeSecurityForeign Policy

Carnegie India does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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