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Commentary
Diwan

Courting Instability?

Nathan Brown discusses recent events in Saudi Arabia, and believes they may have a damaging effect.

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By John Polcari
Published on Nov 10, 2017
Diwan

Blog

Diwan

Diwan, a blog from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace’s Middle East Program and the Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center, draws on Carnegie scholars to provide insight into and analysis of the region. 

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The recent arrests of a number of Saudi princes and other officials have introduced a new element of uncertainty into the region. This was compounded by the unexpected resignation of Lebanese Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri in a speech from Riyadh, where he railed against malign Iranian influence in Lebanon and across the region. Emerging from this chaos is a clear message that the kingdom’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is consolidating power domestically and neutralizing those who might impede his rise to the throne.

To discuss these developments, Diwan spoke with Nathan Brown, a nonresident senior fellow in the Carnegie Middle East program. His research focuses on religious establishments and Arab law and constitutionalism. In a recent post for Diwan, he examined the uncertainty surrounding succession in many Gulf monarchies. In Saudi Arabia in particular the path to the throne is subject to both written and unwritten rules as well as the prevailing state of royal politics.

Brown’s most recent article for Carnegie, “The Remaking of the Saudi State,” examines the ongoing structural changes in the kingdom leading it toward more centralized governance, alongside a growing yet severely repressed public discourse on the trajectory of the country. He notes that taken together, these trends may have a deeply destabilizing effect.

About the Author

John Polcari

Former Program Coordinator and Research Assistant, Middle East Program

John Polcari
Former Program Coordinator and Research Assistant, Middle East Program
Political ReformMiddle EastSaudi ArabiaGulf

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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