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Conference

2021 Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference

Tue, June 22nd, 2021 - Thu, June 24th, 2021

Live Online

Link Copied

In 2021, the Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference went virtual, engaging over 800, officials, experts, scholars, journalists, and students from around the globe.

Using the drop-down menu below, you can watch (or rewatch!) the sessions, as well as access transcripts.

Keynotes

  • Sergey Ryabkov, Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation
  • Colin Kahl, U.S. Under Secretary of Defense for Policy
  • Ine Eriksen Søreide, Foreign Minister of Norway

Panels

  • Nuclear Risk Reduction: Developing a Practical Agenda
  • Toward Equity and Antiracism in Nuclear Policymaking
  • Alliances, Proliferation, and Escalation Risks in Northeast Asia
  • New Technologies and the Future of Arms Control

We look forward to seeing you in-person in 2022!

Session Videos
Keynote Address
 

Ine Eriksen Søreide

Minister of Foreign Affairs for Norway
Moderator
 

Shashank Joshi

The Economist
Transcript
Nuclear Risk Reduction: Developing a Practical Agenda

With tensions between nuclear-armed states on the rise, governments and NGOs have seized on nuclear risk reduction as a critical near-term goal. But on what risks, specifically, should governments focus their limited time and attention? What is the best way to address these risks? And is risk reduction a contribution to or a distraction from the disarmament goals enshrined in article VI of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty?

Moderator
 

George Perkovich

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Speakers
 

Maleeha Lodhi

Former UN Representative for Pakistan
 

Izumi Nakamitsu

UN Under-Secretary-General and High Representative for Disarmament Affairs
 

Janneke Vrijland

Deputy Head, Non-proliferation, Disarmament and Nuclear Affairs Security Policy Department at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Netherlands
Transcript
Keynote Address
 

Sergey Ryabkov

Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation
Moderator
 

Rose Gottemoeller

Stanford University
Transcript
Toward Equity and Antiracism in Nuclear Policymaking

Many national security institutions—including those in the nuclear policy field—are strengthening their diversity, equity, and inclusion efforts. Such efforts focus on the important goal of incorporating diverse voices in spaces where they have historically been underrepresented, but what else should equity in nuclear policymaking entail? What are the barriers to achieving equity?  How could diversity, equity, and inclusion efforts contribute to achieving an antiracist foreign policy? And, how might such efforts ultimately affect policy outcomes on contemporary nuclear issues, including Iran, North Korea, nuclear weapons modernization, and disarmament? 

Moderator
 

Bunmi Akinnusotu

What in the World? Podcast
Speakers
 

Bishop Garrison

senior advisor to the U.S. secretary of defense for Human Capital and Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion
 

Jessica Lee

Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft
 

Aditi Verma

Harvard Kennedy School Belfer Center
Transcript
Presentation of the 2021 Thérèse Delpech Memorial Award

The 2021 Thérèse Delpech Memorial Award was awarded to William C. Potter.

This award is offered, at each conference, to an individual who has rendered exceptional service to the nongovernmental nuclear policy community.

Award Recipient
 

William C. Potter

Director, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies
Keynote Address
 

Colin Kahl

Under Secretary of Defense for Policy
Moderator
 

Amy Woolf

Congressional Research Service
Transcript
Alliances, Proliferation, and Escalation Risks in Northeast Asia

U.S. alliances are a primary mechanism for preventing further nuclear proliferation, particularly in Northeast Asia. Both Seoul and Tokyo are adopting independent precision-strike, conventional capabilities—is this a new form of hedging? Are there tradeoffs between deterrence and escalation risks with these capabilities? Do U.S. allies’ conventional strike capabilities remove a perceived need for forward deployment of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons in Northeast Asia or nuclear sharing arrangements with Japan and South Korea? What are the potential risks and benefits of forward deployment or nuclear sharing?

Moderator
 

Shaun Kim

Former senior advisor to the ambassador at U.S. Embassy Seoul
Speakers
 

Ankit Panda

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
 

Bo Ram Kwon

Korea Insitute of Defense Analyses
 

Hideshi Tokuchi

National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies
Transcript
In-Memoriam

We honored those who contributed to the International nuclear policy community and dedicated their lives to building a more safe and secure world.

 
New Technologies and the Future of Arms Control

Nuclear-armed states are capitalizing on technological developments in modernizing their nuclear forces while simultaneously trying to mitigate emerging vulnerabilities. Hypersonic missiles and nuclear-powered propulsion systems offer new ways to defeat defenses. Meanwhile, advanced nonnuclear capabilities pose growing threats to nuclear forces and their enabling capabilities. How best should nuclear-armed states manage these developments cooperatively—whether through treaties, confidence building and transparency, or behavioral norms?

Moderator
 

Jane Vaynman

Temple University
Speakers
 

Andrey Baklitskiy

MGIMO University
 

Heather Williams

Massachusetts Institute of Technology
 

Wu Riqiang

Renmin University
Transcript
Nuclear Risk Reduction: Developing a Practical Agenda

With tensions between nuclear-armed states on the rise, governments and NGOs have seized on nuclear risk reduction as a critical near-term goal. But on what risks, specifically, should governments focus their limited time and attention? What is the best way to address these risks? And is risk reduction a contribution to or a distraction from the disarmament goals enshrined in article VI of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty?

Moderator
 

George Perkovich

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Speakers
 

Maleeha Lodhi

Former UN Representative for Pakistan
 

Izumi Nakamitsu

UN Under-Secretary-General and High Representative for Disarmament Affairs
 

Janneke Vrijland

Deputy Head, Non-proliferation, Disarmament and Nuclear Affairs Security Policy Department at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Netherlands
 
Young Professionals
We were proud to host the Young Professionals Track at the 2021 Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference. Because spaces were limited, we selected participants with fewer than five years of professional experience, including graduate students, though a lottery.

Activities included:
  • Career Panel
  • Breakout Roundtable Discussions
  • Mentoring Sessions
We were pleased to partner with CSIS PONI and WCAPS for the 2021 Young Professionals Track.
WCAPs
CSIS PONI

Career Panel

Armchair to Expert: How to Become a Regional Specialist without Leaving Your Home (Country)
Many young professionals in nuclear policy seek to develop regional and country-specific expertise. Research travel is the most obvious way to develop that expertise within the country or region of interest, but young professionals often encounter obstacles to travel. How might young professionals develop regional and country-specific expertise when travel is impossible? What skills and techniques have nuclear policy professionals employed to develop expertise in countries that do not welcome foreign researchers? What are the best practices for open source research among nuclear policy professionals? How do nuclear policy professionals leverage advocacy and professional networks to gather credible information? What limitations and ethical questions should nuclear policy professionals consider when developing regional and country-specific expertise from afar?
Moderator
 

Fiona Cunningham

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Speakers
 

Jennah Khaled

Former Safeguards Analyst at the International Atomic Endgy Agency
 

Haneen Khalid

Obama Foundation Scholar
 

Ankit Panda

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
READ MORE >
 

Breakout Groups included:

  • Denuclearization or Risk Reduction? Priorities on the Korean Peninsula
    Repeated attempts to coax and pressure North Korea to denuclearize have failed to prevent it from developing an increasingly sophisticated nuclear arsenal. The immediate risks of nuclear conflict resulting from the growing North Korean arsenal are complicating longstanding diplomatic efforts to reverse Pyongyang’s nuclear program. Should the Five Parties and other interested states shift their priority to nuclear risk reduction on the Korean Peninsula, or continue to focus on DPRK denuclearization? What are the advantages and disadvantages of prioritizing either goal, including second-order consequences such as setting a precedent for other would-be proliferators? Are policies designed to address risk reduction or nuclearization equally likely to succeed and are there creative ways to pursue both nuclear risk reduction and denuclearization simultaneously?
     

    Andrea Berger

    Senior Analyst, Canadian Department of National Defence
    READ MORE >
  • In Denial? U.S. Acceptance of Mutual Vulnerability with China
    The United States has not publicly accepted mutual nuclear vulnerability with China, despite China’s increasingly robust nuclear forces. As U.S.-China great power competition gains momentum and technologies with counterforce applications advance in parallel, should the United States publicly accept mutual vulnerability with China? How should the United States evaluate the political and technological costs and benefits of accepting mutual vulnerability with China? How might China react to U.S. acceptance of mutual vulnerability? Should U.S. allies and Indo-Pacific states encourage the United States to accept mutual vulnerability with China or not?
     

    David Santoro

    Pacific Forum
    READ MORE >
  • The Responsibility to Clean Up? Managing the Legacy of Nuclear Weapons Development
    The development and testing of nuclear weapons has left a legacy of damaging social and environmental effects around the globe that have fallen disproportionately on marginalized communities. There are numerous examples of nuclear weapon states failing to account for the full extent of these social and environmental costs, such as the health impacts of French nuclear testing in Algeria and French Polynesia on surrounding populations; the displacement of indigenous communities for U.S. nuclear sites in the 1940s; and lack of remediation of Soviet test sites in Kazakhstan. To what extent should nuclear weapon states bear responsibility for the damaging legacy of nuclear weapons development and testing? What is the full extent of social and environmental damage of nuclear weapons development and testing? What strategies are available to advocates and affected communities to push nuclear weapon states to fully account for these costs and what additional challenges do advocates and affected communities face when seeking redress across national borders?
     

    Togzhan Kassenova

    Center for Policy Research (SUNY-Albany)
    READ MORE >
  • The Ivory Tower and the Missile Silo
    Nuclear policymaking has a long history of engagement with academic researchers in history, political science, economics, anthropology, engineering, and the natural sciences. Academic research has advanced nuclear strategy and arms control, normative prohibitions on nuclear weapons use, nuclear proliferation dynamics, and public attitudes to nuclear safety. How has academic research has shaped nuclear policy in the past and why was it successful in doing so? What big questions for nuclear policy are academics uniquely well placed to answer? How might academics satisfy their disciplinary requirements while also engaging with nuclear policy debates in their choice of topics and methods? And how do academics engage in policy outreach to shape nuclear policy?
     

    James Acton

    Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
     

    Nina Tannenwald

    Brown University
    READ MORE >
  • Giving Away too Much? Arsenal Survivability and On-Site Inspections
    On-site inspections will likely comprise a critical component of a post-START US-Russia arms control agreement and perhaps a future arms control arrangement between the United States and China. But on-site inspections generate concerns that the host will give away too much information about their nuclear arsenal—information that could compromise its survivability in a future conflict. What risks do on-site inspections under arms control treaties pose for arsenal survivability, now and in the future? How do on-site inspections for U.S.-Russia arms control treaties, past and present, address those concerns? And what technical and political solutions to those risks to survivability are available or under development?
     

    Michael Albertson

    Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
    READ MORE >
  • Addressing the Lack of Diversity & Inclusion in the Nuclear Field
    Weapons of mass destruction (WMD) impact everyone. Still, the nuclear policy field is predominantly male and white and lacks diverse voices. Nuclear weapons have come back into sharper focus in military doctrines, arms control arrangements are waning, and new and disruptive technologies are further complicating and straining nuclear weapons decision-making. Amid this backdrop, it is imperative that the 21st-century challenges require new thinking and creative approaches and solutions in the nuclear policy sector by bolstering the voices and visibility of traditionally underrepresented communities. In 2020 WCAPS launched the Organizations In Solidarity initiative to combat racism and discrimination in the peace and security field. With a movement towards greater self-reflection on where the field stands with respect to representation and culture, how can the nuclear policy field address the lack of diversity and inclusion? What are the steps that can be taken to grow and diversify the talent pipeline in the field? How important is mentorship and advocacy to nourish talent and can the nuclear policy field enrich itself by incorporating and practicing reverse mentorship? Are there lessons that have been learned during the pandemic on how to be more inclusive that should be part of “the new normal”?

    Hosted by Women of Color Advancing Peace, Security, and Conflict Transformation.
     

    Wardah Amir

    Women of Color Advancing Peace, Security, and Conflict Transformation
     

    Sylvia Mishra

    Women of Color Advancing Peace, Security, and Conflict Transformation
    READ MORE >
  • On the Nuclear Brink: Escalation Management in the Taiwan Strait
    Created by the Project on Nuclear Issues at CSIS, On the Nuclear Brink is an escalation management exercise tasking participants to provide policy guidance to the President as a nuclear crisis unfolds. Players assume the role of a Senior Director at the National Security Council, analyzing intelligence, news, and other information to respond to escalating hostilities and provide policy recommendations. Although some high-level intelligence is provided, participants must ultimately define their own objectives based on leadership guidance, assumptions, and interpretation of unfolding events. The Taiwan Strait version of On the Nuclear Brink takes place in 2028 as a close-approach incident between the Chinese and Taiwanese navies in the Taiwan Strait sets off a string of political and military maneuvers that raise concerns of cross strait conflict. With a narrowing gap between U.S. and Chinese military capabilities, participants must identify U.S. objectives and attempt to achieve them with a range of diplomatic, economic, and military tools. The exercise aims to expose participants to a wide range of escalatory outcomes possible in high-stakes crises between nuclear-armed states.

    Hosted by the Center for Strategic and International Studies' Project on Nuclear Issues.
    READ MORE >
 
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