collection
Carnegie China Commentaries
commentary
Beijing’s Chen Shui-bian Playbook for Lai Ching-te: A View from Southeast Asia

Taiwan faces a more forceful PRC and a need to further consolidate its democracy. These will be the true tests of Lai Ching-te’s political acumen and that of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) team around him.

· June 6, 2024
commentary
The Possibility of a China-Philippines Conflict in the South China Sea

In the current conflict with the Philippines, Beijing’s strategy appears to be maximally leveraging gray zone tactics to exhaust the survival of the Filipino vessel on the Second Thomas Shoal.

· June 3, 2024
Southeast Asia
Q&A
New Leader, New Approach to China?

Over the past three years, Southeast Asia has witnessed a series of important leadership transitions. How will these new leaders approach China and how will they differ from their predecessors?

  • Lak Chansok
  • +4
· May 23, 2024
commentary
Prabowo’s Diplomatic Debut in China and Japan

Indonesia’s foreign policy will not fundamentally change except in one respect—it will have a more active president managing its foreign policy.

  • Rizal Sukma
· April 18, 2024
commentary
The Potential Chinese Responses to a U.S. Ban on TikTok

Beijing’s reaction to Washington’s proposed ban on TikTok could manifest in three distinct scenarios.

· April 11, 2024
Q&A
China’s Evolving Economic and Security Role in the Middle East

The advantage that China has over other global powers, especially America, is that its foreign policy is closely aligned with those of many of the Middle Eastern countries.

· March 20, 2024
Q&A
China-Europe Relations, Two Years After Russia Invaded Ukraine

The Russian invasion of Ukraine is a turning point in the EU-China relationship, and evolution of the China-Russia relationship will continue to impact EU-China relations.

  • Yifan Ding
  • Alice Ekman
· March 11, 2024
commentary
China and Russia’s Overlapping Interests in Central Asia

Russia has its Eurasian Economic Union, and China has its Belt and Road Initiative. For both projects, Central Asia is important.

· February 22, 2024
commentary
Taiwan’s Voters Have Spoken. Now What: Implications of Taiwan’s 2024 Elections for Beijing and Beyond

Quiet but important shifts in Taiwan’s politics that will have critical implications for cross-strait ties.

· February 9, 2024
Q&A
How Chinese Financing Shapes the Pacific

One reason Pacific Island countries continue to borrow from China is their huge demand for infrastructure.

· February 8, 2024
commentary
Southeast Asians Are Using China Engagement to Compel Greater U.S. Regional Involvement

Engaging with China and with the United States are not zero-sum choices for Southeast Asia, but the challenge for the region’s leaders and diplomats is actually about keeping the United States interested in the region.

· January 16, 2024
commentary
The Philippines’ Cost of Inaction in Asian Maritime Spaces

For the Philippines, China’s actions in the contested maritime region are alarming, and the costs of not doing anything—or not doing enough—come with a high price.

· December 18, 2023