Marina Ottaway, Omar Hossino
REQUIRED IMAGE
Fragmentation of Iraq's Political Spectrum
With a combined total of 296 parties and independent candidates registered to compete for a place in a 275-seat parliament, Iraq displays a degree of political fragmentation usually found in first-time multi-party elections but rarely seen thereafter.
With a combined total of 296 parties and independent candidates registered to compete for a place in a 275-seat parliament, Iraq displays a degree of political fragmentation usually found in first-time multi-party elections but rarely seen thereafter. Even the number of coalitions—at least six, at present—suggests deep fragmentation.
Several factors explain the continuing fragmentation of the Iraqi political scene. First, the legacy of the struggle against Saddam Hussein already led to fragmentation. Much of Saddam’s opposition was organized along confessional lines, with exiles in different countries creating separate organizations and drawing backing from different sources. But none of the organizations was particularly effective, so in 2003, there was no group that could claim the glory of having liberated the country. The 2005 elections created a fragmented parliament, worsening the problem.
The electoral system chosen by the November 8 election law—proportional representation with open lists—is likely to perpetuate the fragmentation. Not only will it do nothing to reduce the number of parties and coalitions competing against each other; but it also will encourage an undesirable degree of competition among candidates of the same parties.
In general, intraparty competition is a positive outcome of open-list systems in that it gives more power to the voters than to the party hierarchy. In situations of extreme fragmentation, however, open-list systems may deepen divisions and exacerbate problems.
About the Author
Former Senior Associate, Middle East Program
Before joining the Endowment, Ottaway carried out research in Africa and in the Middle East for many years and taught at the University of Addis Ababa, the University of Zambia, the American University in Cairo, and the University of the Witwatersrand in South Africa.
- Reactions to the Syrian National InitiativeArticle
- Slow Return to Normal Politics in EgyptArticle
Marina Ottaway
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center
- The Hezbollah Disarmament Debate Hits IraqCommentary
Beirut and Baghdad are both watching how the other seeks to give the state a monopoly of weapons.
Hasan Hamra
- System Maintenance in IraqCommentary
In an interview, Shahla al-Kli discusses the country’s parliamentary elections and what they reveal.
Rayyan Al-Shawaf
- Toward a New Compromise in Iraq?Commentary
Recent election results have placed Nouri al-Maliki in a strong position to name the next prime minister.
Wladimir van Wilgenburg
- Israel’s Ring of Buffer ZonesCommentary
In the aftermath of the October 7 attacks, the Israelis have transformed their neighbors’ borderlands to serve their own security interests.
Armenak Tokmajyan
- Mutual Disenforcement in the Arab WorldCommentary
Ties between Iraq and Lebanon show how fragile regional states tend to strengthen each other’s dysfunctions.
Hasan Hamra