The Arab Revolution

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In The Media

The Arab Revolution

The unrest and turmoil spreading across the Arab world has already changed the face of the Middle East and North Africa. Its impact will be measured best in decades, rather than months or years.

By Marwan Muasher

Published on May 10, 2011

Source: BBC America

As unrest and turmoil spread across the Arab world, the response of governments and citizens has differed depending on the conditions that shape the political, economic, and social realities in each country, explained Marwan Muasher on BBC America. In countries like Tunisia with relatively homogenous populations, there have been relatively peaceful movements for change. However in countries like Bahrain and Syria, with minority ruling regimes, Muasher explained that the unrest has quickly become violent and any transition will be met with a sustained period of conflict. “There is no question that this is a process that has started and has only started,” Muasher asserted. “I think we will measure what is going on in terms of decades rather than months and years.”

Initially, “the US pursued a policy of prioritizing stability over democracy and reform and it ended up with neither,” Muasher said. The Obama administration is now struggling to figure out how to react on a country by country basis and how it can support real reform that leads to a true separation of powers and a system of checks and balances. Muasher added that the killing of Bin Laden will further discourage extremism. The protests across the Arab world have shown the people that they can affect change more efficaciously without violence.

About the Author

Marwan Muasher

Vice President for Studies

Marwan Muasher is vice president for studies at Carnegie, where he oversees research in Washington and Beirut on the Middle East. Muasher served as foreign minister (2002–2004) and deputy prime minister (2004–2005) of Jordan, and his career has spanned the areas of diplomacy, development, civil society, and communications.

Recent Work

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Bombing Campaigns Do Not Bring About Democracy. Nor Does Regime Change Without a Plan.
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Unpacking Trump’s National Security Strategy
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Political Reform Middle East North Africa

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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