Commentary
In July 2025, Vietnam and China held their first joint army drill, a modest but symbolic move reflecting Hanoi’s strategic hedging amid U.S.–China rivalry.
Nguyễn Khắc Giang
{
"authors": [
"Jake Sullivan"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Carnegie China",
"Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "",
"programs": [
"American Statecraft"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"Middle East",
"Iran",
"East Asia",
"North Korea"
],
"topics": [
"Political Reform",
"Security",
"Military",
"Nuclear Policy",
"Global Governance"
]
}
In The Media
On North Korea Policy, Iran Tensions, and Why Hillary Lost
Increased tensions between the United States and Iran over the last couple days, along with U.S. President Donald Trump’s calls to end the Iran Nuclear Deal, could put Iran on the same path as North Korea as an imminent threat potentially needing military consideration.
Published on Aug 9, 2017
Source: CBS This Morning
Speaking on CBS This Morning, Carnegie’s Jake Sullivan discussed the risks of a military conflict with North Korea and warned not to overlook the likelihood ofconflict with Iran. Increased tensions between the United States and Iran over the last couple days, along with U.S. President Donald Trump’s calls to end the Iran Nuclear Deal, could put Iran on the same path as North Korea as an imminent threat potentially needing military consideration. He also looked at the role for China in negotiating the suspension of North Korea’s nuclear program and the incentives China could offer Pyongyang to end the conflict. Sullivan concluded that China ca take on the role of paying monetary payments to North Korea, previously taken upon by the US, in order to reduce tensions and risks of war.
This interview was originally broadcast by CBS This Morning.
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie China
- Neither Comrade nor Ally: Decoding Vietnam’s First Army Drill with China
- China’s Mediation Offer in the Thailand-Cambodia Border Dispute Sheds Light on Beijing’s Security Role in Southeast AsiaCommentary
The Thai-Cambodian conflict highlights the limits to China's peacemaker ambition and the significance of this role on Southeast Asia’s balance of power.
Pongphisoot (Paul) Busbarat
- How to Predict China’s Economic Performance for 2025: A Sectoral ApproachCommentary
GDP growth means something fundamentally different in China than in most countries.
Michael Pettis
- China Is Determined to Hold Firm Against Trump’s PressureCommentary
Beijing believes that Washington is overestimating its own leverage and its ability to handle the trade war’s impacts.
Rick Waters, Sheena Chestnut Greitens
- How Southeast Asia Sees Xi Jinping’s Regional Push Amid U.S.-China TensionsArticle
The Trump administration’s effort to reshape the global trading system and reset overseas security commitments is creating an historic inflection point. Less clear is how far China will be able to capitalize on these dynamics.
- +1
Li Mingjiang, Le Hong Hiep, Ngeow Chow Bing, …
