• Research
  • Strategic Europe
  • About
  • Experts
Carnegie Europe logoCarnegie lettermark logo
EUUkraine
  • Donate
{
  "authors": [
    "Mark Hibbs"
  ],
  "type": "legacyinthemedia",
  "centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
  "centers": [
    "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"
  ],
  "collections": [],
  "englishNewsletterAll": "ctw",
  "nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
  "primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
  "programAffiliation": "NPP",
  "programs": [
    "Nuclear Policy"
  ],
  "projects": [],
  "regions": [
    "East Asia",
    "Japan"
  ],
  "topics": [
    "Nuclear Policy",
    "Nuclear Energy"
  ]
}

Source: Getty

In The Media

Earthquake's Impact on Japanese Nuclear Plants

Although Japan's nuclear reactors in Fukushima have shut down, the fuel rods remain hot. If the coolant system does not function properly, the fuel rods could overheat, posing a real danger.

Link Copied
By Mark Hibbs
Published on Mar 11, 2011

Source: Fox News

MARTHA MACCALLUM, FOX NEWS ANCHOR: Back to the situation involving Japan's nuclear power plants which are of great concern right now.

Several of them -- there are 11 nuclear power plants in Japan. We understand that seven of them have been shut down. There are no reports at this point of any leaks. But the government is ordering thousands of people to leave the area near one plant, Fukushima plant, that is 170 miles northeast of Tokyo.

This is looking like ground zero for where this hit in Japan right now. So that is a major concern.

Now the reason that they want people to get away from this area is because the plant's coolant system for the reactor is apparently not functioning the way it should be.

So how serious is this of course is the question there. And joining me now on the phone is Mark Hibbs, a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment Nuclear Policy Program. He joins us with his expertise this morning.

Mark, thank you. Good to have you here this morning.

MARK HIBBS, CARNEGIE ENDOWMENT NUCLEAR POLICY PROGRAM: Thank you.

MACCALLUM: What does any of that tell you about how -- how much danger there is around this plant right now?

HIBBS: Well, basically the situation as I understand it is that the reactors are not being cooled as they should be. The reactors are cold. They've been shut down. There is no critical reaction in the core, but what we have is we have a situation where the fuel in the core, the fuel rods are hot.

And you've got to cool those fuel rods for a certain period of time several days at the least to prevent the closed circulation system in the core from heating up and damaging and destroying that fuel.

So what we understand to be the case is that they have two problems on the site. One problem appears to be that they don't have enough electric power on the site to operate the pumps and the equipment to cool the core down.

And the other problem is that they've got diesel generators which likewise are failing and that may be as a result of the impact of the quake.

MACCALLUM: Right.

HIBBS: So right now as a precautionary measure, the Japanese authorities have evacuated the entire area within a perimeter of three kilometers away from the reactors. They are doing that, people are leaving, and at the same time the government is trying to get additional sources of power to power that equipment and get that core cooled down.

MACCALLUM: Right.

HIBBS: So they're -- they're looking for additional equipment. The power company, Tokyo Electric Power, which is the utility that owns that company, is arranging to send eight additional power generator equipment -- power generator aggregates to the site to connect up and get cold water into that reactor core.

MACCALLUM: All right. What do they --

HIBBS: So that's --

MACCALLUM: Just quickly before we go, if you can, what happens if they can't accomplish that?

HIBBS: What's -- if they don't succeed what's going to happen is you're going to have water that's going to heat up in there. The water will get to the point where it begins boiling out of the core.

You're going to have the water levels in the reactor core falling, and eventually exposing the fuel rods in the core to the atmosphere. That means that that heat will not be taken away. There will be no core cooling there and the fuel will be damaged because the metal around the fuel rods will be damaged. They can buckle. They can balloon.

MACCALLUM: Right.

HIBBS: They can burst. And then you're going to get fuel which is directly exposed to the atmosphere. The fuel --

MACCALLUM: Understood.

HIBBS: Degrade. It will fall down into the core and then you've got a big -- an onset of a core melt accident.

MACCALLUM: Yes. Which is -- that's a scenario nobody wants to see.

Mark Hibbs, thank you very much. We'll be following this throughout the morning with your help, sir. Appreciate it.

About the Author

Mark Hibbs

Nonresident Senior Fellow, Nuclear Policy Program

Hibbs is a Germany-based nonresident senior fellow in Carnegie’s Nuclear Policy Program. His areas of expertise are nuclear verification and safeguards, multilateral nuclear trade policy, international nuclear cooperation, and nonproliferation arrangements.

    Recent Work

  • Article
    Dimming Prospects for U.S.-Russia Nonproliferation Cooperation
      • Nicole Grajewski Profile Picture
      • +1

      Toby Dalton, Mark Hibbs, Nicole Grajewski, …

  • Commentary
    What Comes After Russia’s Attack on a Ukrainian Nuclear Power Station?

      Mark Hibbs

Mark Hibbs
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Nuclear Policy Program
Mark Hibbs
Nuclear PolicyNuclear EnergyEast AsiaJapan

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie Europe

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Taking the Pulse: Is France’s New Nuclear Doctrine Ambitious Enough?

    French President Emmanuel Macron has unveiled his country’s new nuclear doctrine. Are the changes he has made enough to reassure France’s European partners in the current geopolitical context?

      • Rym Momtaz

      Rym Momtaz, ed.

  • Trump United Nations multilateralism institutions 2236462680
    Article
    Resetting Cyber Relations with the United States

    For years, the United States anchored global cyber diplomacy. As Washington rethinks its leadership role, the launch of the UN’s Cyber Global Mechanism may test how allies adjust their engagement.

      • Christopher Painter

      Patryk Pawlak, Chris Painter

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Europe on Iran: Gone with the Wind

    Europe’s reaction to the war in Iran has been disunited and meek, a far cry from its previously leading role in diplomacy with Tehran. To avoid being condemned to the sidelines while escalation continues, Brussels needs to stand up for international law.

      Pierre Vimont

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Macron Makes France a Great Middle Power

    France has stopped clinging to notions of being a great power and is embracing the middle power moment. But Emmanuel Macron has his work cut out if he is to secure his country’s global standing before his term in office ends.

      • Rym Momtaz

      Rym Momtaz

  • Commentary
    Can Europe Trust the United States Again?

    In Donald Trump’s second term in office, the transatlantic relationship that helped define the postwar European project and global order appears broken. Is it time for Brussels to chart its own path?

      Nathalie Tocci, Jan Techau

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Europe
Carnegie Europe logo, white
Rue du Congrès, 151000 Brussels, Belgium
  • Research
  • Strategic Europe
  • About
  • Experts
  • Projects
  • Events
  • Contact
  • Careers
  • Privacy
  • For Media
  • Gender Equality Plan
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Europe
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.