- +18
James M. Acton, Saskia Brechenmacher, Cecily Brewer, …
{
"authors": [
"Eugene Rumer"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "russia",
"programs": [
"Russia and Eurasia"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"Russia",
"Eastern Europe",
"Ukraine"
],
"topics": [
"Security",
"Foreign Policy"
]
}Source: Getty
Ukraine Crisis Hits a New Phase
The Ukraine crisis has reached a new phase that could lead to outright conflict between Ukraine and Russia. However, it is not clear what Russia’s strategy is in Ukraine and what it hopes to achieve.
Source: Bloomberg TV
Speaking on Bloomberg TV, Carnegie’s Eugene Rumer said that the Ukraine crisis has entered a new phase that could potentially lead to outright military conflict between Ukraine and Russia. However, he added, it is unclear what Russia’s political strategy is and what it hopes to achieve by destabilizing the new government in Kiev. Rumer stated that, regardless of Vladimir Putin’s goal, its actions against Ukraine will be detrimental to Russia in the longer term, as Moscow will eventually have to deal with Kiev in some form or another. In the near future, the United States will probably impose more economic sanctions on Russia, and this could do significant damage to the Russian economy. But sanctions are unlikely to dractically alter Russia’s actions, as the Russian leadership now sees the Ukraine crisis as an existential issue, Rumer concluded.
About the Author
Director and Senior Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Program
Rumer, a former national intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia at the U.S. National Intelligence Council, is a senior fellow and the director of Carnegie’s Russia and Eurasia Program.
- Unpacking Trump’s National Security StrategyOther
- Europe Must Lead to Prevent the Worst in UkraineCommentary
Nate Reynolds, Eugene Rumer
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center
- Iran and the New Geopolitical MomentCommentary
A coalition of states is seeking to avert a U.S. attack, and Israel is in the forefront of their mind.
Michael Young
- Baku Proceeds With Caution as Ethnic Azeris Join Protests in Neighboring IranCommentary
Baku may allow radical nationalists to publicly discuss “reunification” with Azeri Iranians, but the president and key officials prefer not to comment publicly on the protests in Iran.
Bashir Kitachaev
- Iran’s Woes Aren’t Only DomesticCommentary
The country’s leadership is increasingly uneasy about multiple challenges from the Levant to the South Caucasus.
Armenak Tokmajyan
- The Tragedy of Middle Eastern PoliticsArticle
The countries of the region have engaged in sustained competition that has tested their capacities and limitations, while resisting domination by rivals. Can a more stable order emerge from this maelstrom, and what would it require?
Hamza Meddeb, Mohamed Ali Adraoui
- The United States and the Emerging Security Order in Eastern SyriaPaper
As Washington reduces its presence in the country, the success of its withdrawal and continued containment of the Islamic State will hinge on adopting an approach of flexible oversight built around three priorities, as well as balancing Turkish and Israeli red lines.
Kheder Khaddour, Issam Kayssi