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Syria in a New Era

After 54 years of Assad family rule, Syria has entered a new chapter in its history with the downfall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime. Nearly fourteen years after the start of the Syrian uprising in March 2011, this regime change has also had a profound impact on regional and international geopolitical dynamics. Carnegie scholars, building on years of research and analysis, will engage in a detailed exploration of Syria’s transition, specifically with regard to politics, security, and the economy. Our work will also examine how the country navigates its complex ethnic and sectarian landscape and adapts to shifts in the regional balance of power.

Trucks carrying the belongings of Syrian refugees move along a road from a camp in Arsal in eastern Lebanon on their way back Syria on December 16, 2024
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Assad’s Downfall Opens the Door

Lebanon must adopt a comprehensive, consensual strategy toward a Syrian refugee return.

· January 17, 2025
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The Assads’ Houses of Death

In an interview, Anne-Marie McManus discusses Syria’s prison system and its importance in the country’s transition.

· January 13, 2025
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No Quick Fixes in Syria

In an interview, Robert Templer discusses the prerequisites for a successful post-conflict transition.

· January 8, 2025
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The Syria Fiasco As Seen From Moscow

The downfall of the Assad regime represented a setback, but Russia’s primary focus remains Ukraine.

  • Sergei Melkonian
· December 24, 2024
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Assad’s Downfall Echoes Across the Mediterranean

In eastern Libya, Khalifa Haftar had close ties with the Syrian dictator, and has now lost a soulmate. 

· December 12, 2024
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Anatomy of a Military Fall

Why did Bashar al-Assad’s armed forces fail to act, unlike those in Egypt, Libya, Algeria, and Sudan?

· December 10, 2024
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Eastern Syria After Assad

The SDF has expanded its control over Deir al-Zor, but may soon find itself overstretched and facing Turkish allies.

  • Wladimir van Wilgenburg
· December 10, 2024
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Why Did Iran Allow Bashar al-Assad’s Downfall?

Tehran may have assumed there would be opportunities to exploit in Syria’s likely instability in the future.

· December 9, 2024
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Bashar al-Assad of Syria Has Been Ousted From Power

Spot analysis from Carnegie scholars on events relating to the Middle East and North Africa.


· December 9, 2024
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The Aleppo Offensive in Context

In an interview, Armenak Tokmajyan unpacks the most recent developments in Syria.

· December 4, 2024