Armenak Tokmajyan is a nonresident scholar at the Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center in Beirut. His research focuses on borders and conflict, Syrian refugees, and state-society relations in Syria.
Before joining Carnegie, Tokmajyan was a research fellow at International Crisis Group, focusing mainly on Syrian refugees in Lebanon, and patterns of displacement inside Syria. Before that, he was a research fellow at Budapest’s Central European University, focusing on conflict dynamics in Aleppo. He holds a master’s degree in peace, mediation and conflict research from University of Tampere, Finland.
Tokmajyan’s most recent work include How the Small Town of Sarmada Became Syria’s Gateway to the World (Carnegie Middle East Center, June 2021), Thwarting Jordan’s Bahhara Trade With Syria Risks Social Unrest in Ramtha (Carnegie Middle East Center, April 2021). His previous research include Easing Syrian Refugees’ Plight in Lebanon (International Crisis Group, 2020), Politics of Rural Notables a book chapter in an edited book entitled Local Intermediaries in post-2011 Syria: Transformation and Continuity (Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung, Beirut, June 2019), War Economy in Northern Syria (Shattuck Center for Conflict, Negotiation and Recovery, November 2016), Militarization of the Syrian revolution: Was this the wrong choice? (Journal of Aggression, Conflict and Peace Research 7(2), April 2015), Hezbollah’s Intervention in Syria: Religious Obligation or Political Choice? (Journal of Approaching Religion Vol. 4 (2), December 2014).
In an interview, Robert Templer discusses the prerequisites for a successful post-conflict transition.
Recent developments in Syria have placed the country at a pivotal juncture, carrying profound implications for its future, for regional stability, and for the broader international order. The fall of the Assad regime, after 54 years power, between Hafez and Bashar al-Assad, marks a seismic shift in the Middle East.
Spot analysis from Carnegie scholars on events relating to the Middle East and North Africa.
The priority of the Assad regime as the conflict in Lebanon rages is political survival, which has taken precedence over all else.
In an interview, Abhinav Pandya discusses the multiple facets of India’s ties with the Middle East.
In Syria’s border regions, changes in demographics, economics, and security mean that an inter-Syrian peace process will require consensus among main regional powers that Syria must remain united, that no one side can be victorious, and that perennial instability threatens the region.