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How Russia Became a Gerontocracy Once Again

The Russian regime increasingly resembles the gerontocracy that ran the late Soviet Union, with elderly officials replacing other elderly officials, and some starting to die on the job.

Published on October 15, 2024

In September, the State Duma voted to allow Russian President Vladimir Putin to keep the chairman of the Investigative Committee in office past the age of seventy. Alexander Bastrykin, the incumbent since 2011, is already seventy-one.

Until recently, hitting that age would have disqualified Bastrykin from continued service. The retirement age for Investigative Committee officials—up to and including its head—had previously been set at sixty-five, with the possibility of a five-year extension. Now, age is no impediment for Bastrykin, a long-time close associate of Putin, who himself turned seventy-two this month.

Putin was elected president at the relatively young age of forty-seven, and those he appointed to key positions upon first entering the Kremlin were of a similar age. At the time, officials in Russia had to retire at sixty-five, without exception, and it did not occur to anyone that the country’s relatively young leadership might still be around at that age. In the early 2000s, Putin repeatedly assured Russians that he did not intend to rule beyond sixty-five or to make it possible to govern past that point.

Yet as Putin served term after term, the deadline neared, forcing him into action. Letting Bastrykin remain at the helm of the Investigative Committee is only the latest example of Putin changing the rules to protect his allies’ jobs.

Officially, the Kremlin’s personnel policy promises Russia’s best and brightest young people a path to the top. In reality, however, those opportunities largely stop at the regional level, or in the best case at a second-tier federal post.

Putin has taken to calling veterans of the war in Ukraine “the new elite,” but even his foot soldiers cannot displace Russia’s true elite: those who have aged in office alongside the president.

In his old age, Putin has come to derive comfort from seeing familiar faces in the same positions. Keen to maintain the status quo, he has stopped at nothing to keep his team intact, giving rise to a gerontocracy.

The first rule changes came in 2010 and 2012, when veteran top judges Valery Zorkin and Vyacheslav Lebedev were permitted by then president Dmitry Medvedev and Putin, respectively, to serve beyond seventy. Medvedev made that exception for Zorkin even as he lowered the retirement age for civilian officials to sixty, with the option of a five-year extension if employer and employee agreed.

Lowering the age limit made political sense for Medvedev. Purportedly, the self-styled modernizer wanted young, progressive people, not old-timers, to implement his innovative policies. Moreover, had Medvedev run for reelection, the emergence of a new administrative elite would have reduced the pressure to retain Putin’s people, who simply would have been phased out through mandatory retirement.

In any event, by the time the deadline arrived for Putin’s allies, Medvedev was no longer president, Putin having returned to the Kremlin in 2012. In 2013, he reversed Medvedev’s change to the retirement age for civilian officials, not because it applied to Putin as president but because it threatened his contemporaries. Sergey Ivanov, Putin’s then chief of staff, turned sixty in 2013 and would have required a waiver to remain in his role. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, then sixty-three, and Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev, then sixty-two, had already been cleared to serve until the age of sixty-five.

Much of Putin’s team, then, was only two to five years from retirement, prompting Putin to raise the retirement age for officials to sixty-five with the possibility of a five-year extension. Yet his lieutenants continued to age, leading to further rollbacks.

In 2019, Putin did away with the age limit for rectors of large universities. In 2021, he decreed that the government’s most senior officials could serve beyond seventy. At the same time, Putin proposed to the State Duma that he be empowered to decide for how long senior military officials should serve, and lawmakers obliged. Even lower-ranking officials have seen their age limits raised.

It is entirely possible that Putin will eventually scrap age limits altogether. Doing so would eliminate the need for him to personally sign off on every extension: each one an invitation for the public to scrutinize not only Russia’s gerontocracy generally, but also Putin’s age specifically. There is already a precedent: governors and lawmakers are not subject to any such restrictions.

In the twenty-four years that Putin has been in power, the president and his inner circle have gone from being young advocates of reforms to elderly warmongers. Even the youngest members of Putin’s team are either pushing sixty or already there, such as Sberbank CEO German Gref (sixty) and VEB state development corporation chairman Igor Shuvalov (fifty-seven). The president’s potential successors are not exactly young either, from Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin (sixty-six) to Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin (fifty-eight).

The system has chewed up and spat out young, ambitious sorts such as Andrei Turchak, the forty-eight-year-old former United Russia general secretary who tried too hard to become governor of St. Petersburg and speaker of the Federation Council.

Old-timers like Nikolai Patrushev, the seventy-three-year-old former secretary of the Security Council, are being replaced by officials who are not much younger. Sergei Shoigu, Patrushev’s sixty-nine-year-old successor, was himself succeeded at the Defense Ministry by a sixty-five-year-old, Andrei Belousov.

The Russian leadership increasingly recalls the gerontocracy that ran the late Soviet Union. Back then, elderly officials died in office, only to be replaced by other geriatrics, death a kind of forced retirement.

Putin’s subordinates have already started dying on the job. This year, Lebedev, the Supreme Court chief justice whose tenure was extended back in 2012, died at eighty-one. He was succeeded by Irina Podnosova, Putin’s seventy-year-old university classmate.

Judging by the Bastrykin case, none of this bothers Putin. On the contrary, he associates longevity of service with stability and so seeks to ensure old-timers can remain in office as long as possible.

The danger is that things could play out as they did in the late Soviet period, with a carousel of senior officials leaving office in a hearse. Those who grew old and tired while waiting for a job at the top will simply not be able to cope with the crises that have accumulated, while younger candidates will not have the necessary experience or ambition—for there is no place for such people in a gerontocracy. 

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.