- +6
Yasmine Farouk, Nathan J. Brown, Maysaa Shuja Al-Deen, …
{
"authors": [
"Michele Dunne"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "menaTransitions",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "MEP",
"programs": [
"Middle East"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"North America",
"United States",
"North Africa",
"Egypt"
],
"topics": [
"Political Reform",
"Democracy",
"Foreign Policy"
]
}Source: Getty
Egypt and the United States
Egyptian President Mubarak's visit to Washington offers the opportunity to discuss Egypt's role in the region in relation to U.S. priorities. Egypt's domestic politics, particularly the succession issue, also will play a role in further U.S.-Egyptian cooperation.
Source: Diane Rehm Show

According to Dunne, "this visit is seen as very significant from the Egyptian perspective. Especially in the government run press. There has been two main messages. One of them is that Mubarak is back in in in Washington after being 'on the outs' with Bush administration. I think that the Egyptians want everyone to know that Mubarak is back in the good graces of the White House. Then, there has been a message about the important role that Egypt can play regarding Washington's strategic goals and priorities". In many ways, suggested Dunne, "Egypt and the U.S. have a consonant agenda" particularly in regards to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Iran and Lebanon. The key question is how much can Egypt do.
I think that the Egyptians want everyone to know that Mubarak is back in the good graces of the White House.
In regards to the Arab-Israeli conflict, Mubarak has largely delivered the same message to President Obama as King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia, Dunne explained. After efforts to normalize relations in the 1990's went without significant steps toward peace, Arab states are increasingly reluctant to give concessions without full reciprocation.
As a major U.S. ally in the region, Egypt will also play a critical role in limiting Iranian influence in the region. Dunne suggested that, "Its important for U.S. to show that we have allies against Iran in the region. The Egyptian concern about Iran is very real. Egypt has rebuffed past Iranian attempts to establish relations and signaled that it would be willing to work with Israel, on a limited scale, to rebuff Iranian attempts to bolster its position in the region."
One of the most widely discussed issues concerning Egypt is who will succeed the ailing octogenarian Mubarak. It has been speculated that Mubarak's son, Gamal Mubarak, is being groomed to succeed his father. "[Gamal] has been trying to build his political career for ten years. He has tried to show that he will reach out to young people", suggested Dunne. Despite his efforts, "most people in the country are ambivalent. He is not very popular, except for a following in the business community. Egypt is a republic, not a monarchy, and there is a basic objection that many Egyptians have to Gamal being groomed to succeed his father."
About the Author
Former Nonresident Scholar, Middle East Program
Michele Dunne was a nonresident scholar in Carnegie’s Middle East Program, where her research focuses on political and economic change in Arab countries, particularly Egypt, as well as U.S. policy in the Middle East.
- Islamic Institutions in Arab States: Mapping the Dynamics of Control, Co-option, and ContentionResearch
- From Hardware to Holism: Rebalancing America’s Security Engagement With Arab StatesResearch
- +8
Robert Springborg, Emile Hokayem, Becca Wasser, …
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
- After Ilia II: What Will a New Patriarch Mean for Georgia?Commentary
The front-runner to succeed Ilia II, Metropolitan Shio, is prone to harsh anti-Western rhetoric and frequent criticism of “liberal ideologies” that he claims threaten the Georgian state. This raises fears that under his leadership the Georgian Orthodox Church will lose its unifying role and become an instrument of ultraconservative ideology.
Bashir Kitachaev
- Lukashenko’s Bromance With Trump Has a Sell-By DateCommentary
Lukashenko is willing to make big sacrifices for an invitation to Mar-a-Lago or the White House. He also knows that the clock is ticking: he must squeeze as much out of the Trump administration as he can before congressional elections in November leave Trump hamstrung or distracted.
Artyom Shraibman
- What the Russian Energy Sector Stands to Gain From War in the Middle EastCommentary
The future trajectory of the U.S.-Iran war remains uncertain, but its impact on global energy trade flows and ties will be far-reaching. Moscow is likely to become a key beneficiary of these changes; the crisis in the Gulf also strengthens Russia’s hand in its relationships with China and India, where advantages might prove more durable.
Sergey Vakulenko
- Beyond Oil: Hormuz Closure Puts Russia in the Lead in the Fertilizer MarketCommentary
The Kremlin expects to not only profit from rising fertilizer prices but also exact revenge for the collapse of the 2023 grain deal.
Alexandra Prokopenko
- Tokayev’s New Constitution Is a Bet on Stability—At Freedom’s ExpenseCommentary
Kazakhstan’s new constitution is an embodiment of the ruling elite’s fears and a self-serving attempt to preserve the status quo while they still can.
Serik Beysembaev