Research
- +6
Yasmine Farouk, Nathan J. Brown, Maysaa Shuja Al-Deen, …
{
"authors": [
"Michele Dunne"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "menaTransitions",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "MEP",
"programs": [
"Middle East"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"North America",
"United States",
"North Africa",
"Egypt"
],
"topics": [
"Political Reform",
"Democracy",
"Foreign Policy"
]
}
Source: Getty
In The Media
Egypt and the United States
Egyptian President Mubarak's visit to Washington offers the opportunity to discuss Egypt's role in the region in relation to U.S. priorities. Egypt's domestic politics, particularly the succession issue, also will play a role in further U.S.-Egyptian cooperation.
Published on Aug 18, 2009
Source: Diane Rehm Show
According to Dunne, "this visit is seen as very significant from the Egyptian perspective. Especially in the government run press. There has been two main messages. One of them is that Mubarak is back in in in Washington after being 'on the outs' with Bush administration. I think that the Egyptians want everyone to know that Mubarak is back in the good graces of the White House. Then, there has been a message about the important role that Egypt can play regarding Washington's strategic goals and priorities". In many ways, suggested Dunne, "Egypt and the U.S. have a consonant agenda" particularly in regards to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Iran and Lebanon. The key question is how much can Egypt do.
I think that the Egyptians want everyone to know that Mubarak is back in the good graces of the White House.
In regards to the Arab-Israeli conflict, Mubarak has largely delivered the same message to President Obama as King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia, Dunne explained. After efforts to normalize relations in the 1990's went without significant steps toward peace, Arab states are increasingly reluctant to give concessions without full reciprocation.
As a major U.S. ally in the region, Egypt will also play a critical role in limiting Iranian influence in the region. Dunne suggested that, "Its important for U.S. to show that we have allies against Iran in the region. The Egyptian concern about Iran is very real. Egypt has rebuffed past Iranian attempts to establish relations and signaled that it would be willing to work with Israel, on a limited scale, to rebuff Iranian attempts to bolster its position in the region."
One of the most widely discussed issues concerning Egypt is who will succeed the ailing octogenarian Mubarak. It has been speculated that Mubarak's son, Gamal Mubarak, is being groomed to succeed his father. "[Gamal] has been trying to build his political career for ten years. He has tried to show that he will reach out to young people", suggested Dunne. Despite his efforts, "most people in the country are ambivalent. He is not very popular, except for a following in the business community. Egypt is a republic, not a monarchy, and there is a basic objection that many Egyptians have to Gamal being groomed to succeed his father."
About the Author
Michele Dunne
Former Nonresident Scholar, Middle East Program
Michele Dunne was a nonresident scholar in Carnegie’s Middle East Program, where her research focuses on political and economic change in Arab countries, particularly Egypt, as well as U.S. policy in the Middle East.
- Islamic Institutions in Arab States: Mapping the Dynamics of Control, Co-option, and Contention
- From Hardware to Holism: Rebalancing America’s Security Engagement With Arab StatesResearch
- +8
Robert Springborg, Emile Hokayem, Becca Wasser, …
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
- Russia Is Approaching a Political CrossroadsCommentary
Two divergent trends—Putin’s hardline vision of how to prosecute the war in Ukraine, and a growing desire for change in Russia—could tear the regime apart.
Tatiana Stanovaya
- Control Above Reform: What’s Behind Ukraine’s Government and Security Reshuffle?Commentary
Ultimately, Zelensky sided neither with the reform camp nor with the military establishment as such, but with political control.
Balázs Jarábik
- Where Are President Tokayev’s Political Reforms Leading Kazakhstan?Commentary
Tokayev’s predecessor, Nursultan Nazarbayev, outlined arrangements for a power transition too soon and in too much detail, ultimately losing control over the process. Tokayev is determined not to meet the same fate.
Temur Umarov
- Parliamentary Elections in Occupied Ukraine Risk Backfiring for the KremlinCommentary
Despite unhappiness on the ground, Moscow is determined to use both carrot and stick to ensure there is record support for United Russia in occupied Ukraine.
Konstantin Skorkin
- Moldova’s Ruling Party PAS Must Graduate From Crisis Management to State GovernanceCommentary
Whether PAS can refocus on the unfinished business of state-building may ultimately prove more consequential for Moldova’s European future than the pace of its accession negotiations.
Balázs Jarábik
