• Research
  • Politika
  • About
Carnegie Russia Eurasia center logoCarnegie lettermark logo
  • Donate
{
  "authors": [
    "Michael Pettis"
  ],
  "type": "other",
  "centerAffiliationAll": "",
  "centers": [
    "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"
  ],
  "collections": [],
  "englishNewsletterAll": "",
  "nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
  "primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
  "programAffiliation": "",
  "programs": [],
  "projects": [],
  "regions": [
    "China",
    "Western Europe",
    "Germany"
  ],
  "topics": [
    "Economy",
    "Trade"
  ]
}

Source: Getty

Other

Rescue from China?

The idea that there is a role here for China or other foreign entities—to lend foolishly to countries to whom the ECB or Germany are too skeptical to do so—simply indicates how confused the whole euro project has become.

Link Copied
By Michael Pettis
Published on Nov 21, 2011
Should China bail out Europe?
Michael Pettis
China cannot bail out Europe. There are two separate questions here. The first is whether Europe needs to be bailed out, and clearly the answer is that it doesn't. If Europe were suffering from a shortage of foreign currency—for example, if its external debt far exceeded its capacity to raise foreign currency—then it might be meaningful to discuss a bailout. But European entities have very little external debt compared to their capacity to raise foreign currency, so the whole question of a foreign bailout here is meaningless.

The second question is whether the peripheral countries need to be bailed out. The answer here depends on whether or not they are simply facing short-term financing gaps or whether they are truly incapable of servicing their obligations. If it is the former, then the European Central Bank (ECB) or Germany should step in and provide the funding. If foreigners do so, the euro must strengthen against the dollar and with it the European trade deficit will automatically widen and growth prospects in Europe decline. If it is the latter, then debts in the periphery should be restructured and partially forgiven. Otherwise, there is absolutely no way for peripheral Europe to grow its way back into health. The idea that there is a role here for China or other foreign entities—to lend foolishly to countries to whom the ECB or Germany are too skeptical to do so—simply indicates how confused the whole euro project has become.

About the Author

Michael Pettis

Nonresident Senior Fellow, Carnegie China

Michael Pettis is a nonresident senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. An expert on China’s economy, Pettis is professor of finance at Peking University’s Guanghua School of Management, where he specializes in Chinese financial markets. 

    Recent Work

  • Commentary
    The Plaza Accord and Its Relevance for China

      Michael Pettis

  • Commentary
    Who Paid for China’s Last Debt Cleanup, and Who Will Pay for the Next?

      Michael Pettis

Michael Pettis
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Carnegie China
Michael Pettis
EconomyTradeChinaWestern EuropeGermany

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    Who Is Funding Russia’s War in the 2027 Budget?

    For every ruble allocated to social policy, health, and education in 2027, double that amount is earmarked for the army, the police, and the security services.

      Alexandra Prokopenko

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    International Demand for Russia’s Arctic Shipping Route Is Unlikely to Last

    Cargo traffic through Russia’s Northern Sea Route has increased because of the disruption caused by the conflict in the Middle East, the Ukraine war, and U.S.-China tensions.

      • Mikhail Korostikov

      Mikhail Korostikov

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    Belarus Wants More From the West Than a ‘Massive Deal’ on Potash

    Trump has promised Belarus a massive potash deal. But Minsk is seeking something greater: restored Western transit and greater room for maneuver from Russia.

      Balázs Jarábik

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    The Kremlin Can No Longer Postpone Hard Economic Decisions

    Depleted financial reserves and a shrinking tax base mean it is no longer possible to simultaneously deliver high defense spending, price stability, and economic growth.

      Alexandra Prokopenko

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    As It Turns 25, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Reflects the New World Order

    With the growth in points of friction between the great powers, organizations like the SCO will continue to play a role in the strategic adaptation of the smaller powers caught between them.

      Temur Umarov

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
Carnegie Russia Eurasia logo, white
  • Research
  • Politika
  • About
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Contact
  • Privacy
  • For Media
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.