- +1
Amr Hamzawy, Andrew Leber, Eric Lob, …
{
"authors": [
"Marwan Muasher"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center"
],
"collections": [
"Arab Awakening"
],
"englishNewsletterAll": "menaTransitions",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "MEP",
"programs": [
"Middle East"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"Middle East",
"North Africa",
"Egypt",
"Gulf",
"Levant",
"Maghreb"
],
"topics": [
"Political Reform",
"Foreign Policy"
]
}Source: Getty
The Post-American Middle East
Given diminished U.S. influence in the Middle East, Washington should no longer try to pick winners and losers in the region and instead support democratic transitions to pluralistic societies.
Source: Al-Jazeera
Speaking on Al-Jazeera, Carnegie's Marwan Muasher explained that the early months of the Arab uprisings were filled with expectations that the Middle East was transforming from a region plagued by autocratic governments to democracy and pluralism. However, these romantic notions were quickly overcome by fears, at least among Western observers, that Islamist governments would take root in the region and that their presence would be inimical to U.S. interests.
Muasher noted, “No matter what the U.S. thinks, this process is going on domestically in the Arab world and the ability of the United States to shape this process is severely limited. There has been a marked wane in the economic power of the U.S. following the global economic crisis and the Iraq war has demonstrated the limitations of American military power." Muasher also noted that “the political power of the United States has decreased because of its inability to solve the region’s principal problem, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.” In some ways, “the image the U.S. has of its power in the region is outdated,” suggested Muasher. Yet despite its outdated understanding, Muasher asserted that the United States is still relevant and can play a constructive role in the region. Ultimately, “the U.S. must let the people of the region select their leaders and promote a policy that supports democratic transitions to pluralistic societies,” said Muasher.
About the Author
Vice President for Studies
Marwan Muasher is vice president for studies at Carnegie, where he oversees research in Washington and Beirut on the Middle East. Muasher served as foreign minister (2002–2004) and deputy prime minister (2004–2005) of Jordan, and his career has spanned the areas of diplomacy, development, civil society, and communications.
- The Myriad Problems With the Iran CeasefireQ&A
- The Iran War Is Uncovering the Weakness in U.S.-Gulf TiesCommentary
Marwan Muasher
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
- Russia Is Approaching a Political CrossroadsCommentary
Two divergent trends—Putin’s hardline vision of how to prosecute the war in Ukraine, and a growing desire for change in Russia—could tear the regime apart.
Tatiana Stanovaya
- Control Above Reform: What’s Behind Ukraine’s Government and Security Reshuffle?Commentary
Ultimately, Zelensky sided neither with the reform camp nor with the military establishment as such, but with political control.
Balázs Jarábik
- Where Are President Tokayev’s Political Reforms Leading Kazakhstan?Commentary
Tokayev’s predecessor, Nursultan Nazarbayev, outlined arrangements for a power transition too soon and in too much detail, ultimately losing control over the process. Tokayev is determined not to meet the same fate.
Temur Umarov
- Parliamentary Elections in Occupied Ukraine Risk Backfiring for the KremlinCommentary
Despite unhappiness on the ground, Moscow is determined to use both carrot and stick to ensure there is record support for United Russia in occupied Ukraine.
Konstantin Skorkin
- Moldova’s Ruling Party PAS Must Graduate From Crisis Management to State GovernanceCommentary
Whether PAS can refocus on the unfinished business of state-building may ultimately prove more consequential for Moldova’s European future than the pace of its accession negotiations.
Balázs Jarábik