Not only does the fighting jeopardize regional security, it undermines Russian attempts to promote alternatives to the Western-dominated world order.
Ruslan Suleymanov
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Policy options for a potential grand nuclear bargain between the U.S. and Pakistan remain a contested topic of discourse with serious implications for regional cooperation and security.
Source: Atlantic Council Discussion
Speaking at an event held by the Atlantic Council, Carnegie’s Toby Dalton explained that nuclear dangers in South Asia are increasing, particularly as a result of advances in Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal. He said that a nuclear deal may be one way to encourage Pakistan to constrain its nuclear developments in ways that reduce the chances of conflict, if Pakistan were willing to entertain such steps in return for opening a path to joining nuclear regimes. Though the prospects of Pakistan considering such steps are at best uncertain, he argued that it is useful to explore the contours, costs, and benefits of a potential deal as an improvement over the status quo.
Senior Fellow and Co-director, Nuclear Policy Program
Toby Dalton is a senior fellow and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment. An expert on nonproliferation and nuclear energy, his work addresses regional security challenges and the evolution of the global nuclear order.
Sameer Lalwani
Stimson Center
Gaurav Kampani
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
Not only does the fighting jeopardize regional security, it undermines Russian attempts to promote alternatives to the Western-dominated world order.
Ruslan Suleymanov
For Putin, upgrading Russia’s nuclear forces was a secondary goal. The main aim was to gain an advantage over the West, including by strengthening the nuclear threat on all fronts. That made growth in missile arsenals and a new arms race inevitable.
Maxim Starchak
The Kremlin will only be prepared to negotiate strategic arms limitations if it is confident it can secure significant concessions from the United States. Otherwise, meaningful dialogue is unlikely, and the international system of strategic stability will continue to teeter on the brink of total collapse.
Maxim Starchak
The collapse of the Budapest summit is an inevitable result of the Russian system of artificially creating foreign policy crises in order to achieve a desired outcome.
Alexander Baunov
Russia could compensate for “nuclear losses” to its aviation by strengthening other elements of its nuclear triad. At a time when control mechanisms are not functioning, there is a risk of strategic uncertainty emerging over the development trajectory of Russia’s nuclear forces.
Maxim Starchak