Paper
Renad Mansour, Faleh A. Jabar
{
"authors": [
"Renad Mansour"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "menaTransitions",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center",
"programAffiliation": "MEP",
"programs": [
"Middle East"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"Levant",
"Iraq",
"Middle East"
],
"topics": [
"Political Reform"
]
}
Source: Getty
In The Media
UN Prepares for Mass Displacements as Anti-ISIS Troops Approach Mosul
Different political, tribal, and governmental actors are seeking more power and influence through their involvement in the battle for Mosul.
Published on Aug 25, 2016
Source: CBC Radio
Renad Mansour spoke on CBC’s The Current with Anna Maria, alongside Bruno Geddo, the UNHCR representative in Iraq, and Eric Mors, co-chair of Security Studies at the Royal Canadian Military Institute. He discussed the potential outcomes for the battle to retake Mosul.
Mansour pointed out that what will happen next in Mosul is unclear and there is a high probability of conflict between the different groups gearing up to expel the Islamic State from the city. Different political, tribal, and governmental actors are seeking more power and influence through their involvement in the battle.
Mansour noted that it will also be particularly hard to maintain security in Mosul. Although all involved military groups -Iraq’s military forces, Popular Mobilization Forces, and the Peshmerga- have one aim to defeat ISIS, none are in agreement with each other. There is a worry that there could be a security vacuum and fighting between the different groups fighting the Islamic State. Mansour believes though that if there is a proper peace settlement between the distinct entities in Mosul, this would enable the displaced locals to return to a safe environment.
Mansour also noted that the Islamic State had already been an underground organization within Mosul and was present in the city even before it was taken over by the group in June 2014. Mansour warned that if the government cannot provide safety and basic services in Mosul than the Islamic State will exploit the situation and attempt to retake the city as they see it vital for their plans.
This interview was originally broadcast on CBC Radio's The Current.
About the Author
Renad Mansour
Former El-Erian Fellow, Middle East Center
Mansour was an El-Erian fellow at the Carnegie Middle East Center, where his research focuses on Iraq, Iran, and Kurdish affairs.
- The Popular Mobilization Forces and Iraq’s Future
- Game of Thrones in BaghdadCommentary
Renad Mansour
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
- Ten Years After Karimov’s Death, How Much Has Uzbekistan Really Changed?Commentary
In the tenth year of his presidency, President Mirziyoyev’s system is becoming even more personalized than that of his predecessor Karimov.
Galiya Ibragimova
- As a Former Defense Minister Revolts in Ukraine, Is Zelensky’s System Fracturing?Commentary
The greater threat to Zelensky comes not from Fedorov alone, but from the convergence between the former defense minister’s political campaign and the anti-corruption investigations moving ever closer to the presidential administration.
Balázs Jarábik
- Fedorov’s Challenge to Zelensky Could Upend Ukrainian PoliticsCommentary
With his public call for new elections in Ukraine, ex-defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov has opened Pandora’s box.
Konstantin Skorkin
- Russia’s Rubber-Stamp Duma Elections Are Exposing Schisms in Putin's RegimeCommentary
In the discussions made possible by the State Duma election campaign, one question is being asked more and more loudly. “What next?”
Andrey Pertsev
- Russia Is Approaching a Political CrossroadsCommentary
Two divergent trends—Putin’s hardline vision of how to prosecute the war in Ukraine, and a growing desire for change in Russia—could tear the regime apart.
Tatiana Stanovaya
