If the regime in Tehran survives, it could be obliged to hand Moscow significant political influence in exchange for supplies of weapons and humanitarian aid.
Nikita Smagin
REQUIRED IMAGE
Source: Carnegie
Summary
The nuclear crisis on the Korean peninsula continues to
pose the most serious security threat to U.S. interests and friends in East
Asia. North Korea's nuclear activities include both an active plutonium
production capability and a still-under-construction uranium enrichment
capability. This program presents a critical security challenge for the United
States, countries in East Asia, and, through North Korea's potential to sell
nuclear materials abroad, the entire world. All of the states engaged with North
Korea agree that the goal of international efforts should be the complete
elimination of North Korea's nuclear program and the firm establishment of a
non-nuclear Korean peninsula.
The papers included in this report are meant to spur discussion and exploration of these complex issues, and give support to efforts to negotiate an agreement that ends the potential for North Korea to directly threaten the security of its neighbors and other countries.
Click on link above for full text of this Carnegie Paper.
About the Authors
Seongwhun Cheon is senior research fellow at the
Korea Institute for National Unification (KINU) in Seoul. Before joining KINU in
1991, he served with the Office of Arms Control, Ministry of National Defense,
Republic of Korea. He is the author of numberous books including U.S. NCM
Initiatives and Security of the Korean Peninsula (Seoul, KINU, 2001).
Fred McGoldrick is principle in the international consulting firm of Bengeslsdorf, McGoldrick and Associates, LLC. He has held senior positions in the U.S. Department of Energy and the U.S. Department of State, where he negotiated U.S. peaceful nuclear cooperation agreements and helped shape U.S. policy to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons.
Jon B. Wolfsthal is deputy director and associate of the Carnegie Endowment's Non-Proliferation Project. Prior to joining the Endowment, he held a number of positions at the U.S. Department of Energy, including service as the U.S. government's on-site monitor at North Korea's nuclear complex at Yongyon. He is the co-author of Deadly Arsenals: Tracking Weapons of Mass Destruction (Carnegie Endowment, 2002).
Click here to read more on issues related to weapons of mass destruction.
A limited number of print copies are also available.
Request
a copy
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
If the regime in Tehran survives, it could be obliged to hand Moscow significant political influence in exchange for supplies of weapons and humanitarian aid.
Nikita Smagin
Arms supplies from Russia to Iran will not only continue, but could grow significantly if Russia gets the opportunity.
Nikita Smagin
Putin is stalling, waiting for a breakthrough on the front lines or a grand bargain in which Trump will give him something more than Ukraine in exchange for concessions on Ukraine. And if that doesn’t happen, the conflict could be expanded beyond Ukraine.
Alexander Baunov
With the blocking of Starlink terminals and restriction of access to Telegram, Russian troops in Ukraine have suffered a double technological blow. But neither service is irreplaceable.
Maria Kolomychenko
For Putin, upgrading Russia’s nuclear forces was a secondary goal. The main aim was to gain an advantage over the West, including by strengthening the nuclear threat on all fronts. That made growth in missile arsenals and a new arms race inevitable.
Maxim Starchak