• Research
  • Politika
  • About
Carnegie Russia Eurasia center logoCarnegie lettermark logo
  • Donate
The Nobel Prize: Obama's Poisoned Chalice?

Source: Getty

Article

The Nobel Prize: Obama's Poisoned Chalice?

President Obama should use the opportunity presented to him by winning the Nobel Peace Prize to make bold and concrete movements toward reducing stockpiles of nuclear weapons and restarting the Israeli-Palestinian negotiations.

Link Copied
By Henri J. Barkey
Published on Oct 9, 2009

The award of the Nobel Peace Prize to President Barack Obama has taken everyone by surprise, most of all the White House. The Nobel Committee has clearly decided that it wants to support Obama’s vision and, more importantly, wants to push him to accomplish what he has been promising. Morgan Tsvangirai, Zimbabwe’s prime minister may have truly deserved the prize for his heroic efforts, but the Nobel Committee wanted to change the world.  Obama, therefore, was its logical choice. The pressure is on!

President Obama in the short eight months he has been in office has changed America’s discourse, moved away from the policies of the previous administration, at least rhetorically, and has taken some steps towards a more harmonious U.S. foreign policy. The committee in its statement especially recognized his promise to create a world without nuclear weapons and lauded his new vision.

Maybe the committee is worried that the obstacles in front of him are too formidable, the Middle East Peace Process, the Iranian and North Korean nuclear programs, and climate change each would deserve a prize of their own if fulfilled. Hence the committee members decided to help him; by giving him the award they decided to strengthen his hand and give him that extra credibility when dealing with recalcitrant leaders.

If so they may have miscalculated. Russian prime minister Vladimir Putin will be dismissive of the award simply because it was given to an untested newcomer. The likes of Kim Jong-il, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Hugo Chavez do not have much respect for this award in the first place (except that Chavez certainly thinks he deserves it). Yet they will however be miffed that Obama got it because they will perceive it as a slap at them.

It is President Obama who will be under the most intense pressure; people will expect him to deliver. He is not a miracle worker and many of these issues, as President Obama suggested in his White House speech, require the active and willing collaboration of other parties. This is exactly what the Nobel Committee intended to achieve. But there is an unintended downside to this prize; every failed effort from now will receive far more scrutiny and negative commentary. Every failure will have a compounding psychological on other efforts. This is why had he received it in two years after some concrete accomplishment, such the completion of the withdrawal from Iraq or a success in climate change negotiations, the White House would have been far more at ease. Thus the poisoned chalice.

Now that he has the prize, what ought he do? His immediate reaction was inspiring and modest; he does not expect to solve all the problems of the world. The immediate focus will be on his acceptance speech in December. The speech is an occasion to capitalize on the award; he should make two bold and concrete announcements. One could be an announcement on reducing stockpiles of nuclear weapons, this could be a unilateral action designed to prompt others, mainly Russia, to follow suit.  Alternatively, the administration can work with the Russians in advance of the speech to make it a cooperative announcement.

A second concrete and also very symbolic action would be an announcement that he will be traveling to Jerusalem and Ramallah to restart the Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. He would be telling the world that he is putting the whole imprimatur of his office and of the prize behind the effort.  Such a trip, preferably immediately after his receiving of the award, would upset the balances in the region and in each of the countries involved. It is high risk, but as he himself stated, the prize is often a call for action or an amplification of the momentum.

As admirably modest as President Obama was in acknowledging the prize, a Nobel Peace Prize is a terrible thing to waste. He has no choice but to rise to the occasion.  We all wish him well.

About the Author

Henri J. Barkey

Former Visiting Scholar, Middle East Program

Barkey served as a member of the U.S. State Department Policy Planning Staff, working primarily on issues related to the Middle East, the Eastern Mediterranean, and intelligence from 1998 to 2000.

    Recent Work

  • Article
    Winners and Losers in Turkey’s Election

      Henri J. Barkey

  • Article
    The Road to Turkey’s June Elections: Crises, Strategies, and Outcomes

      Henri J. Barkey

Henri J. Barkey
Former Visiting Scholar, Middle East Program
Henri J. Barkey
North AmericaUnited StatesForeign PolicyNuclear Policy

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    What the Russian Energy Sector Stands to Gain From War in the Middle East

    The future trajectory of the U.S.-Iran war remains uncertain, but its impact on global energy trade flows and ties will be far-reaching. Moscow is likely to become a key beneficiary of these changes; the crisis in the Gulf also strengthens Russia’s hand in its relationships with China and India, where advantages might prove more durable.

      • Sergey Vakulenko

      Sergey Vakulenko

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    Beyond Oil: Hormuz Closure Puts Russia in the Lead in the Fertilizer Market

    The Kremlin expects to not only profit from rising fertilizer prices but also exact revenge for the collapse of the 2023 grain deal.

      Alexandra Prokopenko

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    Why Has Kazakhstan Started Deporting Political Activists?

    The current U.S. indifference to human rights means Astana no longer has any incentive to refuse extradition requests from its authoritarian neighbors—including Russia.

      Temur Umarov

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    Why Are China and Russia Not Rushing to Help Iran?

    Most of Moscow’s military resources are tied up in Ukraine, while Beijing’s foreign policy prioritizes economic ties and avoids direct conflict.   

      • Alexander Gabuev

      Alexander Gabuev, Temur Umarov

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    Georgia’s Fall From U.S. Favor Heralds South Caucasus Realignment

    With the White House only interested in economic dealmaking, Georgia finds itself eclipsed by what Armenia and Azerbaijan can offer.

      Bashir Kitachaev

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
Carnegie Russia Eurasia logo, white
  • Research
  • Politika
  • About
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Contact
  • Privacy
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.