Judy Dempsey
{
"authors": [
"Judy Dempsey"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Carnegie Europe",
"Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Europe",
"programAffiliation": "",
"programs": [],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"Russia",
"Europe"
],
"topics": [
"Foreign Policy"
]
}Source: Getty
Chancellor Merkel’s Chance to Push Russia
The Petersburg Dialogue was set up to bring together a cross section of Russian society and encourage the country's transition to democracy. It hasn't worked that way.
Source: New York Times

Established in 2001 by her predecessor, Gerhard Schröder, the Petersburg Dialogue was supposed to bring together a cross section of Russian society and give the participants a platform to express their views, in order to encourage the country’s transition to democracy.
It never achieved that.
On the contrary, the Petersburg Dialogue has become a talk shop, unwilling to question the economic, social or political policies of the Kremlin or deal with challenges affecting Russian society.
In my latest column, I write about the tangled and ever more troubled relationship between today’s Russia and Germany, its most loyal European ally: Over the past few weeks, an increasing number of German politicians are questioning Berlin’s special relationship.Ms. Merkel has sometimes tried to raise issues in the context of the Petersburg Dialogue, especially Russia’s weak rule of law and the pressure on non-governmental organizations, bloggers and the media generally. But her points have rarely been taken up by the participants.
Yet, surely such a forum would offer an ideal opportunity for the German side, which includes leading corporate executives, to speak out openly about Russia’s pervasive corruption and how difficult it is to do business there. Surely, the one thing that companies want when dealing with any country is predictability, accountability and transparency.
Russia, however, is special. Germany, which is Russia’s biggest trading partner in Europe, fears that it could lose out on contracts if it adopted a more critical stance towards the Kremlin. The big German companies that do business in Russia just don’t want to rock the boat.
But what does that say about Germany’s commitment to its values?
Ms. Merkel’s own Christian Democrats are now speaking out against “Putin Two’s” style of rule by calling for a much wider dialogue beyond the reach of the Kremlin and the oligarchs and the established lobbies.
Along with the opposition Greens and some Social Democrats, the Christian Democrats realize that Germany must deal differently with a Russia that is changing.
Will Mrs. Merkel set this train in motion when she meets Mr. Putin next month?
About the Author
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Carnegie Europe
Judy Dempsey is a nonresident senior fellow at Carnegie Europe
- Europe Needs to Hear What America is SayingCommentary
- Babiš’s Victory in Czechia Is Not a Turning Point for European PopulistsCommentary
Judy Dempsey
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie China
- Trump and Xi Are Angling for Three Years of StabilityCommentary
But their "principal to principal" model will only be as effective as the political strength of each leader back home.
Damien Ma
- China Sells Stability Amid American VolatilityCommentary
U.S. unpredictability has allowed China to capitalize on its positioning as the “responsible great power”. Paradoxically, the more China wins the perception game, the more likely expectations will rise for Beijing to deliver not just words but to demonstrate with its deeds.
Chong Ja Ian
- Why Vietnam Is Swinging in China’s DirectionCommentary
Hanoi and Beijing have long treated each other as distant cousins rather than comrades in arms. That might be changing as both sides draw closer to hedge against uncertainty and America’s erratic behavior.
Nguyễn Khắc Giang
- China’s Energy Security Doesn’t Run Through Hormuz but Through the Electrification of EverythingCommentary
Across Asia, China is better positioned to withstand energy shocks from the fallout of the Iran war. Its abundant coal capacity can ensure stability in the near term. Yet at the same time, the country’s energy transition away from coal will make it even less vulnerable during the next shock.
Damien Ma
- Malaysia’s Year as ASEAN Chair: Managing DisorderCommentary
Malaysia’s chairmanship sought to fend off short-term challenges while laying the groundwork for minimizing ASEAN’s longer-term exposure to external stresses.
Elina Noor