C. Raja Mohan, Darshana M. Baruah
{
"authors": [
"C. Raja Mohan"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Carnegie India"
],
"collections": [
"Arab Awakening"
],
"englishNewsletterAll": "ctw",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie India",
"programAffiliation": "SAP",
"programs": [
"South Asia"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"Middle East",
"Türkiye",
"North Africa",
"Egypt",
"South Asia",
"India"
],
"topics": [
"Political Reform",
"Civil Society",
"Foreign Policy"
]
}Source: Getty
New Middle East
If there ever was a moment for India to stick by the principle of non-intervention in the internal affairs of other nations, this is it in the Middle East.
Source: Indian Express
As the old order crumbles in the Middle East, the imperative of recalibrating India's regional policy has been staring at Delhi for some time. The deepening political turmoil, regime instability and sectarian strife across the Middle East are all testing the established policies of major powers. India is no exception.
Delhi's approach to the Middle East has been shaped by intimate historic links, the profound impact of the region on India's domestic politics, its multiple internal conflicts and its relations with great powers. India's economic interaction with the region has significantly expanded over the last two decades. But the challenge of adapting to the structural changes in the region is likely to endure. While the prospects for near-term stability in the Middle East look bleak, India needs to step up its engagement with key regional powers. There are interesting openings unfolding right now with three of them — Ankara, Cairo and Tehran. All three, along with Saudi Arabia, have long shaped the region's destiny.External Affairs Minister Salman Khurshid's visit to Ankara this week ends the UPA government's prolonged neglect of Turkey. That this is the first trip by an Indian foreign minister in a decade—precisely the period when Ankara's regional and international standing has rapidly risen under the leadership of Recep Tayyip Erdogan—underlines this unfortunate fact. Khurshid's visit should set the tone for President Pranab Mukherjee's visit to Ankara later this year and lay the basis for sustainable political engagement with Turkey. Neither Erdogan's new troubles at home nor Ankara's close ties to Pakistan should be allowed to come in the way of building strong institutional ties to Turkey.
If there ever was a moment for India to stick by the principle of non-intervention in the internal affairs of other nations, this is it in the Middle East. The region is in the throes of a difficult political transition and Delhi must deal with the governments of the day, irrespective of their internal orientation. If India has managed to expand ties with Islamabad's major partners, like China, the United States, and Saudi Arabia over the last decade, there is no reason to let Pakistan define India's relations with Turkey.
Like Turkey, Iran has long been a major non-Arab regional power in the Middle East. Ankara and Tehran are not just at the two geographic extremities of the region. They are also widely perceived as contributing to the new sectarian dynamic between the Sunni and the Shia in the Middle East. As a neighbor, an important source of energy and a gateway to Afghanistan and Central Asia, Iran has re-emerged at the center of India's strategic calculus. But India's ability to build strong partnership with Iran has been constrained by Tehran's ongoing confrontation with the United States on the nuclear issue.
As Hassan Rowhani takes charge as Iran's president next month, hopes have risen for a productive dialogue between Tehran and Washington. Bringing an end to more than three decades of conflict between Iran and the U.S. will not be easy. But Delhi must extend full support to the efforts to ease Iran-U.S. tensions and reach out to the new Iranian leadership at the earliest.
If Turkey and Iran have seen themselves as different models of political Islam in the Middle East, recent developments in Egypt have put moderate secular forces back in control of Cairo and expand the possibilities for the region's future. India has no reason to agonize about whether the Egypt army's decision to end the brief rule of the Muslim Brotherhood is a political coup or not. The fact is that the army has laid out a bold plan for drafting a new constitution and holding parliamentary and presidential elections within six months.
Egypt's internal situation is bound to remain murky for a while, but the luxury of debating Egypt's internal developments should be left to the West and those regional powers that have partisan interests. Delhi, instead, must emphasize the principle of non-intervention and back Cairo's current efforts at political reconciliation and the construction of an inclusive constitutional order. Delhi also can't afford to miss the opportunities to engage the new leaders of Egypt who are so well disposed towards India.
About the Author
Former Nonresident Senior Fellow, Carnegie India
A leading analyst of India’s foreign policy, Mohan is also an expert on South Asian security, great-power relations in Asia, and arms control.
- Deepening the India-France Maritime PartnershipArticle
- Shanghai Cooperation Organization at Crossroads: Views From Moscow, Beijing and New DelhiCommentary
- +1
Alexander Gabuev, Paul Haenle, C. Raja Mohan, …
Recent Work
Carnegie India does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie India
- India Signs the Pax Silica—A Counter to Pax Sinica?Commentary
On the last day of the India AI Impact Summit, India signed Pax Silica, a U.S.-led declaration seemingly focused on semiconductors. While India’s accession to the same was not entirely unforeseen, becoming a signatory nation this quickly was not on the cards either.
Konark Bhandari
- The PSLV Setback: Restoring India’s WorkhorseCommentary
On January 12, 2026, India's "workhorse," the Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle, experienced a consecutive mission failure for the first time in its history. This commentary explores the implications of this incident on India’s space sector and how India can effectively address issues stemming from the incident.
Tejas Bharadwaj
- AI Adoption Journey for Population ScaleCommentary
Connecting real-world AI use cases across sectors such as health, education, agriculture, and livelihoods can help policymakers, innovators, and institutions align around a shared goal. This article looks at a framework ensuring that AI works for everyone.
Shalini Kapoor, Tanvi Lall
- The Impact of U.S. Sanctions and Tariffs on India’s Russian Oil ImportsCommentary
This piece examines India’s response to U.S. sanctions and tariffs, specifically assessing the immediate market consequences, such as alterations in import costs, and the broader strategic implications for India’s energy security and foreign policy orientation.
Vrinda Sahai
- Revisiting the Usage of Refurbished Equipment in India’s Semiconductor EcosystemArticle
This article looks at the progress of the Semiconductor Laboratory fab modernization plan based on publicly available documents, and potential learnings for future upgrades to government-owned fabs and India’s larger semiconductor ecosystem, especially regarding the use of refurbished equipment.
Shruti Mittal, Konark Bhandari