Article
Ariel (Eli) Levite, Toby Dalton
{
"authors": [
"Toby Dalton"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Carnegie Europe"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "ctw",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "NPP",
"programs": [
"Nuclear Policy"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"Middle East",
"Iran",
"Syria"
],
"topics": [
"Nuclear Policy"
]
}
Source: Getty
In The Media
Maintaining the Nuclear Order
The existing nuclear order faces unprecedented changes. In navigating this changing landscape, the International Atomic Energy Agency faces three principal challenges.
By Toby Dalton
Published on Aug 9, 2011
Source: Insights on Law and Society
At the center of the nuclear order is the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the United Nations agency charged with verifying that nuclear programs remain peaceful and with facilitating the development of nuclear energy. In navigating this changing landscape, the IAEA faces three principal challenges.
First, there is increasing divergence of political will and legal authority on compliance. In the cases of Iran and Syria,
the IAEA has the necessary authority to request and carry out all-encompassing inspections without notice, but IAEA
member states do not have the political will to support the IAEA’s writ.
Second, the IAEA faces increasing demands on its time and expertise in carrying out safeguards and facilitating nuclear energy, but without accompanying budgetary growth. If the IAEA is to be effective in carrying out both responsibilities, it needs adequate financial support from member states.
Finally, there is a looming shortage of technical staff with the expertise to take on complex nuclear safeguards issues. Although the nuclear renaissance has spawned renewed interest in nuclear physics and engineering, including in the United States, there are currently too few students in the pipeline globally to meet the IAEA’s future staff requirements.
In the next decade, the IAEA will face increasing shortages of political, financial, and technical support. Without increases in all three, the current nuclear order may soon be characterized by disorder, with potential negative consequences across the globe.
About the Author
Toby Dalton
Senior Fellow and Co-director, Nuclear Policy Program
Toby Dalton is a senior fellow and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment. An expert on nonproliferation and nuclear energy, his work addresses regional security challenges and the evolution of the global nuclear order.
- Promoting Responsible Nuclear Energy Conduct: An Agenda for International Cooperation
- A New Era of Nuclear-Powered Submarines Is Making Waves in Nuclear-Weapon-Free ZonesResearch
- +5
Toby Dalton, Jamie Kwong, Ryan A. Musto, …
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
- Russia Is Meddling for Meddling’s Sake in the Middle EastCommentary
The Russian leadership wants to avoid a dangerous precedent in which it is squeezed out of Iran by the United States and Israel—and left powerless to respond in any meaningful way.
Nikita Smagin
- The Afghanistan–Pakistan War Poses Awkward Questions for RussiaCommentary
Not only does the fighting jeopardize regional security, it undermines Russian attempts to promote alternatives to the Western-dominated world order.
Ruslan Suleymanov
- What the Russian Energy Sector Stands to Gain From War in the Middle EastCommentary
The future trajectory of the U.S.-Iran war remains uncertain, but its impact on global energy trade flows and ties will be far-reaching. Moscow is likely to become a key beneficiary of these changes; the crisis in the Gulf also strengthens Russia’s hand in its relationships with China and India, where advantages might prove more durable.
Sergey Vakulenko
- Beyond Oil: Hormuz Closure Puts Russia in the Lead in the Fertilizer MarketCommentary
The Kremlin expects to not only profit from rising fertilizer prices but also exact revenge for the collapse of the 2023 grain deal.
Alexandra Prokopenko
- Why Are China and Russia Not Rushing to Help Iran?Commentary
Most of Moscow’s military resources are tied up in Ukraine, while Beijing’s foreign policy prioritizes economic ties and avoids direct conflict.
Alexander Gabuev, Temur Umarov
