Aaron David Miller, Karim Sadjadpour, Robin Wright
{
"authors": [
"Karim Sadjadpour"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center"
],
"collections": [
"Iranian Proliferation"
],
"englishNewsletterAll": "menaTransitions",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "MEP",
"programs": [
"Middle East"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"United States",
"Middle East",
"Iran"
],
"topics": [
"Political Reform",
"Nuclear Policy",
"Foreign Policy"
]
}Source: Getty
Nuclear Agreement Reached: Will Iran Deliver?
The success of nuclear agreements are judged over a period of months and years, not over a period of minutes.
Source: BBC Newsnight
Since Iran’s 1979 revolution, the country has never had a more effective diplomat than current foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, said Carnegie’s Karim Sadjadpour on BBC Newsnight. In contrast to many Iranian diplomats, Sadjapour said, Zarif spoke “not as a fire breathing ideologue, but as a nationalist,” and has done a very effective job of articulating Iran’s national interest.
The big question people will have is how much control over Iran’s nuclear program someone like Zarif has, Sadjadpour continued. To what extent Zarif and Rouhani are able to deliver on their promises and whether Iran’s Revolutionary Guards are fully on board with this interim agreement remains to be seen as well. He emphasized that the success of nuclear agreements is judged over a period of months and years, not over a period of minutes. With the Iranian population eager for to have economic sanctions lifted and to rejoin the international community, it will be tough for members of Revolutionary Guard to go against this enormous popular will, Sadjadpour concluded.
About the Author
Senior Fellow, Middle East Program
Karim Sadjadpour is a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he focuses on Iran and U.S. foreign policy toward the Middle East.
- What’s Keeping the Iranian Regime in Power—for NowQ&A
- How Washington and Tehran Are Assessing Their Next StepsQ&A
Aaron David Miller, David Petraeus, Karim Sadjadpour
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
- Could Migrants From India and Africa Solve Russia’s Labor Shortage?Commentary
The demands of the Kremlin’s war in Ukraine, demographic problems, and public hostility toward Central Asians mean Russia does not have enough workers.
Salavat Abylkalikov
- Russian Market Sours for Belarusian State CompaniesCommentary
Minsk’s faith in the future of its larger neighbor’s economy is fading as Belarusian firms in Russia see record losses.
Olga Loiko
- Did Putin Return From China Empty-Handed?Commentary
With no key agreement signed on the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline, there is a risk that the window of opportunity for Russia will close if Chinese power generation becomes so green that new gas sources are no longer of any interest to Beijing.
Alexander Gabuev
- What Does Central Europe’s Post-Orban Russia Policy Look Like?Commentary
Though Orban is gone, Putin can still count on some like-minded individuals in Central and Eastern Europe. However, they will seek to avoid open confrontation with EU institutions over Ukraine and their ties with Moscow.
Dimitar Bechev
- Are Russia-Japan Relations Really Warming Up?Commentary
The truth is that Japan’s government is seeking a degree of reengagement but at a vastly reduced level than under Abe. Most significantly, Japan has shown no willingness to ease sanctions.
James D.J. Brown