Competitive Deterrence? The United States, China, and South Asia

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In The Media

Competitive Deterrence? The United States, China, and South Asia

The past, present, and future shape of nuclear competition among China, India, and Pakistan, specifically the development and posturing of nuclear weapons and related offensive and defensive military systems, is characterized by conflicting narratives. As U.S.-China strategic competition grows, what effects might it have on nuclear competition in Southern Asia?

By Toby Dalton

Published on Apr 26, 2021

US-China Nuclear Relations: The Impact of Strategic Triangles

About the Author

Toby Dalton

Senior Fellow and Co-director, Nuclear Policy Program

Toby Dalton is a senior fellow and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment. An expert on nonproliferation and nuclear energy, his work addresses regional security challenges and the evolution of the global nuclear order.

Recent Work

Commentary
A Nuclear Odyssey at Sea
- Jamie Kwong, Toby Dalton
Paper
Demystifying the Nuclear Threshold
- Ariel (Eli) Levite, Toby Dalton

Security Nuclear Policy

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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Competitive Deterrence? The United States, China, and South Asia

More Work from Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center

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Japan’s long-term security policy is driven by concerns about China, and there is little appetite for (or interest in) pursuing a confrontation with Moscow.

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The truth of the strategic situation is that Europe and Russia are extremely unlikely to be able to “turn the page” on their confrontation within the next two decades.

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Russia’s AI-driven propaganda campaigns operate in a fragmented, chaotic, and often illogical manner. That’s not necessarily a problem for the Kremlin, though: It’s much easier to mimic genuine public debate that way.

Ilya Klishin

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Russian strikes are weakening the economy sustaining Ukraine’s war effort. Closing the growing funding gap will require more European support and politically contentious reforms in Kyiv.

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The European far right might fail to steer EU policy in the direction Russia wants, but they will create enough chaos inside Europe to benefit the Kremlin.

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