Most of Moscow’s military resources are tied up in Ukraine, while Beijing’s foreign policy prioritizes economic ties and avoids direct conflict.
Alexander Gabuev, Temur Umarov
The concept of nuclear disarmament as an essential condition for nuclear nonproliferation is again entering the realm of practical politics, but the movement toward nuclear disarmament is extremely difficult and fraught with great dangers.
Source: Moscow: Carnegie Moscow Center

The continued image of nuclear arms as an indispensable pillar of superpower security combined with the absence of progress on the issue of nuclear disarmament spurs the risk of nuclear proliferation and eventually military or terrorist use of nuclear arms. Nuclear Reset: Arms Reduction and Nonproliferation refutes the argument put forward by many politicians and experts, both in Russia and internationally, of a “civilizing effect” of nuclear weapons in international relations—implying nuclear states’ restraint in their foreign and military policies in the face of fears of nuclear catastrophe.
The book argues that after decades of heated debate the concept of nuclear disarmament as an essential condition for nuclear nonproliferation is again entering the realm of practical politics. Since genuine and consistent movement toward nuclear disarmament is extremely difficult and fraught with great dangers; realism and professionalism is required, taking into account all of the subtleties and the political, economic, military, and technological interrelationships around the issue. The book suggests that in this context there is a need for thorough and well-grounded linkage of all of the elements of the process and both its bilateral and multilateral formats.
Alexey Arbatov
Alexey Arbatov is the head of the Center for International Security at the Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations.
Vladimir Dvorkin
Major General Dvorkin (retired) is a chief researcher at the Center for International Security at the Institute of World Economy and International Relations.
Natalia Bubnova
Former Head of Content Production, Moscow Center
Natalia Bubnova was head of content production at the Carnegie Moscow Center. She previously served as deputy director for communications at the Carnegie Moscow Center.
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
Most of Moscow’s military resources are tied up in Ukraine, while Beijing’s foreign policy prioritizes economic ties and avoids direct conflict.
Alexander Gabuev, Temur Umarov
With the White House only interested in economic dealmaking, Georgia finds itself eclipsed by what Armenia and Azerbaijan can offer.
Bashir Kitachaev
If the regime in Tehran survives, it could be obliged to hand Moscow significant political influence in exchange for supplies of weapons and humanitarian aid.
Nikita Smagin
The interventions in Iran and Venezuela are in keeping with Trump’s strategy of containing China, but also strengthen Russia’s position.
Mikhail Korostikov
Arms supplies from Russia to Iran will not only continue, but could grow significantly if Russia gets the opportunity.
Nikita Smagin