Michael Pettis
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Up Shibor Creek
Overinvestment in China is creating debt problems, an experience that is similar to other historical investment-led growth miracles.
Source: Financial Times
Carnegie's Michael Pettis joined the Financial Times' Alphavilla podcast with Cardiff Garcia, Kate MacKenzie and David Keohane to discuss China's growth rate, the Shibor spike and associated drive to constrain credit growth, and the risk of social unrest and the dangers of social control.
This podcast was originally published by the Financial Times.
About the Author
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Carnegie China
Michael Pettis is a nonresident senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. An expert on China’s economy, Pettis is professor of finance at Peking University’s Guanghua School of Management, where he specializes in Chinese financial markets.
- The Plaza Accord and Its Relevance for ChinaCommentary
- Who Paid for China’s Last Debt Cleanup, and Who Will Pay for the Next?Commentary
Michael Pettis
Recent Work
More Work from Carnegie Europe
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Thomas de Waal
- Taking the Pulse: Is Canada Leading a Third Way?Commentary
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has twice inspired praise for standing up to U.S. President Donald Trump: at the 2026 World Economic Forum in Davos and on Canada-U.S. trade negotiations. Is Carney showing a third way better than the EU has in dealing with the Trump administration?
Rym Momtaz, ed.
- Assessing Information Ecosystems: How Governments Can Get Ahead of Hybrid ThreatsPaper
The hybrid warfare landscape is evolving rapidly, leaving policymakers without clear strategies. To better inform their work in addressing emerging challenges, governments must dig deeper into the underlying dynamics at play.
Raluca Csernatoni, Alicia Wanless