Deborah Gordon, Smriti Kumble, David Livingston
{
"authors": [
"David Livingston"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "ctw",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "SCP",
"programs": [
"Sustainability, Climate, and Geopolitics"
],
"projects": [
"Carnegie Oil Initiative"
],
"regions": [
"North America",
"United States",
"East Asia",
"China"
],
"topics": [
"Climate Change"
]
}Source: Getty
China Leads Global Fight Against Climate Change
As the Trump administration casts doubt on the future of the U.S. role under the Paris climate accords, China finds itself positioned to lead.
Source: CGTN
Carnegie associate fellow David Livingston joined a panel at CGTN America to discuss China’s emerging leadership on climate change internationally, at a time when the new U.S. administration seems increasingly reluctant to continue under the Paris Accords. “This is a unique moment in time,” Livingston said, “because if you look at the Paris Agreement, it’s not just the first really promising effort among 190 plus nations to combat climate change... but it happens to be the first international agreement where China is in the driver’s seat.’
Livingston went on to note that “the United States at the moment still has a leadership role so long as they stay in,” but that “if the U.S. pulls out, China becomes the sole country in the driver’s seat and they can use the Paris Agreement to draw significant leverage diplomatically.” He added that China has a number of critical interests that align with the goals of the Paris Accord, including “local air pollution issues in cities like Beijing, energy security challenges as China’s oil imports are rising again, ... [and] the need for more energy efficient and more streamlined, rational coal and energy production sector.”
“In implementing the Paris Agreement it also checks a number of domestic policy boxes that are very much in its own interest,” Livingston concluded. “I would expect China to push ahead with this quite aggressively.”
However, Livingston said that there are key players within the United States who have an interest in staying committed to the goals of the Paris Agreement. “Like never before we’ve seen businesses—and not just green energy businesses—but companies like Exxon Mobile and Shell…various members of the Fortune 500 companies say ‘we think it’s wise for the U.S. to stay in the Paris Climate Agreement.” Furthermore, he said, states copuld also be standard bearers for domestic action on climate change. “Regardless of what the Trump Administration does on the Paris Agreement, California is going to go ahead with what are some of the most climate policies not only in the United States but also in the world.”
“Even if you see very little action on the federal level, you are still going to have some gains made by coalitions of states that are willing to demonstrate leadership where climate policies and going out a little bit on a leadership role align with their own self-interests,” he said.
The panel and original broadcast video can be found at CGTN America.
About the Author
Former Associate Fellow, Energy and Climate Program
Livingston was an associate fellow in Carnegie’s Energy and Climate Program, where his research focuses on emerging markets, technologies, and risks.
- Advancing Public Climate Engineering DisclosureArticle
- Working Around Trump on ClimateCommentary
Erik Brattberg, David Livingston
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Europe
- Europe Should Not Let Nuclear Nonproliferation DieCommentary
Amid uncertainty caused by the Iran war, the global drive for nonproliferation has stalled. With Europe diplomatically marginalized and countries reassessing their nuclear options, efforts to curb the spread of nuclear weapons risk becoming irrelevant.
Jane Darby Menton
- Can Europe Compete with the United States and China?Commentary
Between the United States’ market-driven approach and China's state-led industrial strategy, Europe is reckoning with how it can remain competitive in the global economy. But is Europe in danger of becoming a U.S. or China colony?
Noah Barkin, Anu Bradford
- Trump Turns NATO into a Tool of CoercionCommentary
The full list of humiliations Europe has endured since Donald Trump returned to the White House makes for grim reading. But Washington’s adversarial approach to its allies undermines its own power base.
Rym Momtaz
- Ecological Statecraft in the Midst of War: Water, Regeneration, and the Future of Gulf SecurityPaper
The U.S.-Iran war has crossed a dangerous threshold: water infrastructure in the Gulf is now a target. Ecological statecraft is no longer peripheral to security, it's part of its foundations.
Olivia Lazard, Ali Bin Shahid
- How the EU Can Become Energy IndependentCommentary
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a global energy crisis, but Europe is stuck in reaction mode. Without more strategic foresight, the EU will remain dependent on fossil fuels and will never be truly secure.
Milo McBride, Pauline Gerard