Article
Marc Pierini
{
"authors": [
"Marc Pierini"
],
"type": "commentary",
"blog": "Strategic Europe",
"centerAffiliationAll": "",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Carnegie Europe"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "",
"programs": [],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"Middle East"
],
"topics": [
"EU"
]
}
Source: Getty
Commentary
Egypt’s Soul Searching
We cannot yet be sure if the election of Mohamed Morsi as president of Egypt marks the beginning of a new era for the country.
By Marc Pierini
Published on Jun 26, 2012
The election of Mohamed Morsi as president of Egypt is a momentous development, as it embodies the coming to power of the Muslim Brotherhood after years of estrangement. This also has a huge meaning for the rest of the Arab revolutions.
Is this the beginning of a new era, however ? We cannot be sure yet.
As a matter of fact, this president has no parliament in front of him and no constitution on which to base his actions. This is all work in progress at this point in time. In addition, the armed forces retain a substantial chunk of the real power.
This is indeed not the first time, in Egypt, that the Muslim Brotherhood will have to negotiate and compromise with another centre of power.
Yet, this time, there is a real difference and it comes from the ballot box: this president is the first one elected in a free and democratic election and he won by a substantial margin. He therefore carries not only a clear legitimacy in the eyes of his voters, but he also embodies their immense expectations, especially on the social and economic front.
This is no small challenge for president Morsi, when one considers, for example, Egypt’s heavy reliance on tourism revenues while the very presence of tourists on Egyptian soil is challenged by ultra-conservatives.
In his introductory speech, Mohamed Morsi made a number of references to the prestige of Egypt and, expectedly, to God and religion.
Equally noticed outside Egypt, he made a clear reference to the respect of Egypt’s existing international treaties. This applies first and foremost to the peace treaty with Israel, no doubt a key ingredient for the continuation of the massive military and economic assistance from the United States.
That being said, huge challenges lie ahead for Egypt. And not just for Mohamed Morsi, but also for the rest of the political spectrum and the armed forces.
No one should be under any illusions: a balance will have to be found between diverging tendencies.
On the one hand, a directly elected president coming from the ranks of the Muslim Brotherhood carries both values and expectations, a political reality which the army will have to take into account.
On the other hand, the economic survival and development of Egypt relies on foreign aid and direct investment and on a continued influx of tourists, an economic reality which the Brotherhood will have to take into account.
Challenging weeks and months lie ahead.
Marc Pierini, a former EU career diplomat, has served as the EU Ambassador to Turkey, Tunisia, Libya, Syria, and Morocco.
About the Author
Marc Pierini
Senior Fellow, Carnegie Europe
Marc Pierini is a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe, where his research focuses on developments in the Middle East and Turkey from a European perspective.
- Turkey’s Four Headaches Are Also Europe’s
- The Denmark-Greenland-U.S. Agreement Needs to Stand the Test of TimeCommentary
Marc Pierini
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Strategic Europe
- No, A Democratic Congress Won’t Save EuropeCommentary
A blue wave has swept over the U.S. midterms, with Democrats regaining control of both houses of Congress. But Europeans hoping for a return to business as usual should think again.
Rym Momtaz
- Is Russia Winning the Perception War in Germany?Commentary
In Germany, competing perceptions of Russia are highlighting a tension between public opinion and government policy. In the country’s east, where division is widespread, populist parties are taking advantage.
Gwendolyn Sasse
- Member States Must Make Enlargement Their OwnCommentary
The European Commission is preparing the EU for its next enlargement. But member states need to make it a project that European citizens can understand, shape, and support.
Iliriana Gjoni
- Taking the Pulse: Is Burnham’s EU Policy Bold Enough?Commentary
Resetting relations with the EU is a central plank of the UK’s current foreign policy. Is Andy Burnham being bold enough or is he falling into the same trap as his predecessors, misreading the power dynamic?
Rym Momtaz, ed.
- A New Dawn for Democracy in SerbiaCommentary
Excitement is in the air following Aleksandar Vučić’s defeat in Serbia. To build a truly democratic state, the movement that unseated the former president must learn from the mistakes of the past.
Ivan Vejvoda
