• Research
  • Strategic Europe
  • About
  • Experts
Carnegie Europe logoCarnegie lettermark logo
EUNATO
  • Donate
{
  "authors": [
    "Judy Dempsey"
  ],
  "type": "commentary",
  "blog": "Strategic Europe",
  "centerAffiliationAll": "",
  "centers": [
    "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
    "Carnegie Europe"
  ],
  "collections": [],
  "englishNewsletterAll": "",
  "nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
  "primaryCenter": "Carnegie Europe",
  "programAffiliation": "",
  "programs": [],
  "projects": [],
  "regions": [
    "Europe"
  ],
  "topics": [
    "EU"
  ]
}
Strategic Europe logo

Source: Getty

Commentary
Strategic Europe

Britain Needs an EU Referendum—Quickly

In a letter to Conservative lawmakers, a former Tory member of parliament calls for an early referendum on Britain’s EU membership. Labour’s Ed Miliband should take note.

Link Copied
By Judy Dempsey
Published on Sep 5, 2013
Strategic Europe

Blog

Strategic Europe

Strategic Europe offers insightful analysis, fresh commentary, and concrete policy recommendations from some of Europe’s keenest international affairs observers.

Learn More

On September 2, the dwindling band of Britain’s pro-EU Conservative lawmakers opened their e-mails to find a message marked “private and confidential.”

The letter was written by a former Tory parliamentarian and passionate European, who asked not to be named. It was sent in response to Prime Minister David Cameron’s humiliating defeat in parliament last Friday over his plans to join the Americans to bomb targets in Syria.

The author of the letter is concerned that the Conservatives’ Euroskeptical wing could feel emboldened by the prime minister’s defeat to challenge his leadership. Even more than that, he fears that Tory Euroskeptics are becoming stronger every day. By 2017, the date set by Cameron for a referendum on Britain’s EU membership, they would be likely to carry the day.

The anonymous Conservative suggests that a referendum should take place much sooner, perhaps even as early as next year. This is a chance for Labour leader Ed Miliband to explain his position on Europe.

The implications of a British exit for Europe and its strategic ambitions would be horrifying. So too would be the consequences for the future of the UK as a country that encompasses Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland, as well as England.

A very important moment will be next May’s European Parliament elections. Analysts suggest that half of the British Conservative members of the European Parliament (MEPs) elected next spring could turn out to be staunchly anti-European, and might disown Cameron and call for Britain to leave the EU as soon as possible.

These new Tory MEPs, allied to their anti-EU backbench colleagues in London, could even stage a coup against Cameron, an idea that has been gaining ground since last Friday’s debacle.

“Last week’s events significantly enhanced the chances of the prime minister facing a challenge to his leadership, at the latest following the European [Parliament] elections next year,” the letter states.

There could also be an alliance shaping up between Conservative anti-EU backbenchers and the Euroskeptical UK Independence Party (UKIP), which already has eleven of the 73 British seats in the European Parliament. A union of these two groups would set Britain retreating into an extraordinary kind of isolationism not seen since Elizabethan times.

Last Friday’s vote was “further proof of the strength of a new English isolationism, hostile to Europe, hostile to America, hostile even to the Scots, which is the real fuel of UKIP and our real opponent in keeping this country inside the European Union and Scotland inside the United Kingdom,” states the letter.

So far, Cameron has been hoping for a turnaround in public opinion by 2017—bolstered by an improved economic performance and the renegotiation of some elements of the EU treaties—that would allow the pro-Europeans to win the referendum.

Yet after Friday’s vote, this scenario seems unrealistic.

For one thing, Cameron’s fellow EU leaders are not going to give him what he wants. Second, Cameron can no longer be so sure that he will still be in power by then, as a general election is due in 2015. Indeed, some observers were surprised that he even survived the vote last Friday.

An early EU referendum would clarify a lot of things. And it might also influence how Scots vote in their own referendum on Scottish independence next September. Scots are generally pro-European. They want to stay in the EU.

The author of the letter is no Labour man. But his remarks lead me to think that it is time for Miliband to take a clear stance on Britain’s EU membership and to support an early referendum. He has been sitting on the fence for too long.

The longer he delays, the more the anti-Europeans will have a free run. Moreover, by calling for a referendum soon, Miliband could put an end to what the letter states is the “studied ambiguity of many leading politicians, commentators, and businesspeople.”

This attitude has been “one important reason why public opinion is currently so hostile to the EU. When they hear from their leaders too little that is positive and so much that is negative about Europe, it is hardly surprising that electors take such a jaundiced view,” adds the letter.

In other words, an early referendum would force many opinion-formers to make a clear and public choice, either for or against withdrawal from the EU. Miliband should jump.

About the Author

Judy Dempsey

Nonresident Senior Fellow, Carnegie Europe

Judy Dempsey is a nonresident senior fellow at Carnegie Europe

    Recent Work

  • Commentary
    Europe Needs to Hear What America is Saying

      Judy Dempsey

  • Commentary
    Babiš’s Victory in Czechia Is Not a Turning Point for European Populists

      Judy Dempsey

Judy Dempsey
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Carnegie Europe
Judy Dempsey
EUEurope

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Strategic Europe

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Taking the Pulse: Are Western Democracies Failing Free Speech?

    The battle over free speech has taken center stage since U.S. Vice President JD Vance accused Europe of censorship. From travel bans to social media regulation, especially around the Israel-Palestine conflict, are liberal democratic governments weaponizing free speech?

      • Rym Momtaz

      Rym Momtaz, ed.

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    In the Middle East, Europeans Bow Down to the United States

    Europe seems to have accepted its sidelining in the Middle East. The EU must reassert its support for the international rules-based order and step up engagement.

      • Rym Momtaz

      Rym Momtaz

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Europe Should Not Let Nuclear Nonproliferation Die

    Amid uncertainty caused by the Iran war, the global drive for nonproliferation has stalled. With Europe diplomatically marginalized and countries reassessing their nuclear options, efforts to curb the spread of nuclear weapons risk becoming irrelevant.

      • Jane Darby Menton

      Jane Darby Menton

  • Europe flags citizens demonstration
    Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    EU Enlargement Forgets Europeans

    Preparing candidate countries for EU membership is no longer enough. As the enlargement process becomes a reality, the union must also prepare its own societies.

      Iliriana Gjoni

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Taking the Pulse: Was it Right to Boycott Eurovision?

    Five countries staged the biggest political boycott in Eurovision history over Israel’s participation. With the FIFA World Cup and other sporting or cultural touchstones on the horizon, are boycotts effective?

      • Rym Momtaz

      Rym Momtaz, ed.

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Europe
Carnegie Europe logo, white
Rue du Congrès, 151000 Brussels, Belgium
  • Research
  • Strategic Europe
  • About
  • Experts
  • Projects
  • Events
  • Contact
  • Careers
  • Privacy
  • For Media
  • Gender Equality Plan
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Europe
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.