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Carnegie China

What the Five Nuclear Weapon States Can Do to Contain Nuclear Risks

The international debate about nuclear risk has catalogued many different kinds of risk and danger. But two stand out as especially salient: the risk of the nuclear arms race and the risk of employment of nuclear weapons arising out of a conventional conflict.

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By Tong Zhao
Published on May 22, 2020

Source: Center for Global Security Research, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

The international debate about nuclear risk has catalogued many different kinds of risk and danger. But two stand out as especially salient: the risk of the nuclear arms race and the risk of employment of nuclear weapons arising out of a conventional conflict. The five nuclear weapon states (NWS) have a special responsibility to contain these risks. They also have a responsibility to try to manage the risk posed by nuclear proliferation. Constructive action by the five is both necessary and possible. But they face many challenges to such action, including the limits on their ability to cooperate given their wariness of each other.

This essay explores four areas to focus improved NWS cooperation to reduce nuclear risk. These include efforts to:

  1. Prevent decoupling of NWS nuclear policy communities

  2. Frame principles for cooperative nuclear risk reduction

  3. Address areas of concern about future strategic military balances

  4. Elevate and deepen existing dialogues

Read Full Text

This piece was originally published in Major Power Rivalry and Nuclear Risk Reduction: Perspectives from Russia, China, and the United States

About the Author

Tong Zhao

Senior Fellow with the Nuclear Policy Program and Carnegie China

Tong Zhao is a senior fellow with the Nuclear Policy Program and Carnegie China, Carnegie’s East Asia-based research center on contemporary China. Formerly based in Beijing, he now conducts research in Washington on strategic security issues.

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Carnegie India does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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