• Research
  • About
  • Experts
Carnegie India logoCarnegie lettermark logo
AI
South Ossetia: A Democratic Victory in a Tiny Republic

Source: Getty

Article
Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center

South Ossetia: A Democratic Victory in a Tiny Republic

The voting results of the South Ossetian presidential election reflect the maturity of society in this republic.

Link Copied
By Alexey Malashenko
Published on Apr 9, 2012

The South Ossetian presidential election runoff on April 8 brought no surprises. As the experts predicted, Leonid Tibilov, former head of the republic’s KGB security service, won the race.

But attention is still focused on events in South Ossetia even after the election.

The first reason for this is that Tibilov won more than 53 percent of the vote, according to preliminary results, while his rival, David Sanakoyev, got almost 43 percent. The race between them was quite close and voters did not form the “monolithic” bloc they normally do in the Russian North Caucasus republics. This shows that people in this tiny quasi-state want to and can express their own opinions. The voting results do not indicate a split in society, but rather reflect the maturity of a society in which people have a sense of civic awareness.

Second, in this situation, the Kremlin refrained from “hinting” to South Ossetia’s voters who they should vote for, as was the case in the November 2011 presidential election (the results of which were invalidated). Moscow thus showed that it is capable of recognizing its mistakes. It will now have to think about what future line to take in the republic (although it should be noted that none of the candidates in the election questioned South Ossetia’s unequivocally pro-Russian orientation).

Third, Tibilov will clearly have to form a coalition or national unity government, including with his opponents. One of those who will be offered a place in the new government will be the charismatic Alla Dzhioyeva, who won the November election but was prevented from taking part in the latest election. South Ossetia’s political landscape would be incomplete without her.  

And finally, Tibilov will have to tackle the “Augean Stables” of problems inherited from previous South Ossetian leader Eduard Kokoity. Will he be up to the Herculean task? This is what the voters hope for—both those who gave him their support and those who voted for Sanakoyev. On the one hand, this work can become a cause for bringing the society together. But on the other hand, finding and punishing those guilty of embezzling money that was supposed to be spent on rebuilding the republic after the 2008 war could inflame the domestic situation.

No matter what one’s view is of South Ossetia, which remains unrecognized by most countries, one thing is clear: it suddenly appears more democratic than any of its neighbors to the north and south, and its people have received (or more precisely, have won) the right to express their will freely. The question now is how South Ossetia’s people will use this right.

About the Author

Alexey Malashenko

Former Scholar in Residence, Religion, Society, and Security Program

Malashenko is a former chair of the Carnegie Moscow Center’s Religion, Society, and Security Program.

    Recent Work

  • Commentary
    What Will Uzbekistan’s New President Do?

      Alexey Malashenko

  • Commentary
    Preserving the Calm in Russia’s Muslim Community

      Alexey Malashenko

Alexey Malashenko
Former Scholar in Residence, Religion, Society, and Security Program
Alexey Malashenko
CaucasusRussiaGeorgiaPolitical ReformDemocracyDomestic PoliticsForeign Policy

Carnegie India does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie India

  • Article
    India–Africa Strategic Partnership: Challenges, Potential, and Possible Pathways

    A partnership between India, a country of subcontinental size, and Africa, a continent of fifty-four countries, may seem asymmetric until one notes that both are home to nearly the same number of people—1.4 billion. This essay spells out the existing challenges to the partnership, its optimal potential, and the possible pathways to realize it over the next quarter-century.

      Rajiv Bhatia

  • Commentary
    Emerging From the “Zombie State” of Trade Agreements: The India-EU FTA

    The India–EU Free Trade Agreement (FTA) is shaping up to be one of the most consequential trade negotiations, both economically and strategically. But, what’s in the agreement, what’s missing, and what will determine its success in the years ahead

      Vrinda Sahai, Nicolas Köhler-Suzuki

  • India and a Changing Global Order: Foreign Policy in the Trump 2.0 Era
    Research
    India and a Changing Global Order: Foreign Policy in the Trump 2.0 Era

    Trump 2.0 has unsettled India’s external environment—but has not overturned its foreign policy strategy, which continues to rely on diversification, hedging, and calibrated partnerships across a fractured order.

      • Sameer Lalwani
      • +6

      Milan Vaishnav, ed., Sameer Lalwani, Tanvi Madan, …

  • Commentary
    The Impact of U.S. Sanctions and Tariffs on India’s Russian Oil Imports

    This piece examines India’s response to U.S. sanctions and tariffs, specifically assessing the immediate market consequences, such as alterations in import costs, and the broader strategic implications for India’s energy security and foreign policy orientation.

      Vrinda Sahai

  • Commentary
    NISAR Soars While India-U.S. Tariff Tensions Simmer

    On July 30, 2025, the United States announced 25 percent tariffs on Indian goods. While diplomatic tensions simmered on the trade front, a cosmic calm prevailed at the Sriharikota launch range. Officials from NASA and ISRO were preparing to launch an engineering marvel into space—the NASA-ISRO Synthetic Aperture Radar (NISAR), marking a significant milestone in the India-U.S. bilateral partnership.

      Tejas Bharadwaj

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie India
Carnegie India logo, white
Unit C-4, 5, 6, EdenparkShaheed Jeet Singh MargNew Delhi – 110016, IndiaPhone: 011-40078687
  • Research
  • About
  • Experts
  • Projects
  • Events
  • Contact
  • Careers
  • Privacy
  • For Media
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie India
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.