Lina Khatib
{
"authors": [
"Lina Khatib"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "menaTransitions",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center",
"programAffiliation": "MEP",
"programs": [
"Middle East"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"Gulf",
"Levant",
"Jordan",
"Middle East",
"Syria"
],
"topics": [
"Political Reform",
"Security"
]
}Source: Getty
ISIS Hostage Crisis: Jordan’s Fear of Internal Strife is Behind Decision to Release of Bomber Sajida al-Rishawi
Members of the Jordanian pilot’s tribe have protested in Amman, pressuring the government to agree to an exchange.
Source: Independent
The motivations behind Jordan’s decision to release Sajida al-Rishawi lie in its wish to maintain domestic stability.
The rise of ISIS has put Jordan in a tough position. Its proximity to Syria and Iraq and its close alliances with the U.S., Saudi Arabia, and Israel have led it to host training for the moderate Syrian opposition at the request of Washington and Riyadh as well as joining the anti-ISIS coalition headed by the U.S. in order to protect both itself and its allies.But Jordan is worried that the more entrenched its engagement in fighting ISIS becomes, the more it is exposing itself to instability.
ISIS’s geographical expansion is bringing it closer to the Syrian-Jordanian border. As some Jordanian tribes in border areas like Maan have pledged allegiance to ISIS, Amman is worried that a southern expansion for ISIS would empower those tribes against the Jordanian state.
An extra element is that, following the demands of ISIS to release Rishawi in exchange for Jordanian pilot Lieutenant Mu'ath al-Kaseasbeh, members of the pilot’s tribe have protested in Amman, pressuring the government to agree to exchange him for Rishawi.
Rishawi was never a high-level prisoner. She is reported to be the sister of an Iraqi aide to the late al-Qaeda leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, but she is not a military commander. Her importance for ISIS is more symbolic than operational. This is what has made her a low-risk bet for Jordan. But the agreement to release her shows Jordan is as concerned about instability from its own tribes as much as about security threats from ISIS.
About the Author
Former Director, Middle East Center
Khatib was director of the Carnegie Middle East Center in Beirut. Previously, she was the co-founding head of the Program on Arab Reform and Democracy at Stanford University’s Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law.
- Syria's Last Best Hope: The Southern FrontIn The Media
- The Islamic State’s Strategy: Lasting and ExpandingPaper
Lina Khatib
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
- How Far Can Russian Arms Help Iran?Commentary
Arms supplies from Russia to Iran will not only continue, but could grow significantly if Russia gets the opportunity.
Nikita Smagin
- The Kremlin Is Destroying Its Own System of Coerced VotingCommentary
The use of technology to mobilize Russians to vote—a system tied to the relative material well-being of the electorate, its high dependence on the state, and a far-reaching system of digital control—is breaking down.
Andrey Pertsev
- Can the Disparate Threads of Ukraine Peace Talks Be Woven Together?Commentary
Putin is stalling, waiting for a breakthrough on the front lines or a grand bargain in which Trump will give him something more than Ukraine in exchange for concessions on Ukraine. And if that doesn’t happen, the conflict could be expanded beyond Ukraine.
Alexander Baunov
- Notes From Kyiv: Is Ukraine Preparing for Elections?Commentary
As discussions about settlement and elections move from speculation to preparation, Kyiv will have to manage not only the battlefield, but also the terms of political transition. The thaw will not resolve underlying tensions; it will only expose them more clearly.
Balázs Jarábik
- Once Neutral on the Ukraine War, Arab States Increasingly Favor MoscowCommentary
Disillusioned with the West over Gaza, Arab countries are not only trading more with Russia; they are also more willing to criticize Kyiv.
Ruslan Suleymanov