C. Raja Mohan, Darshana M. Baruah
{
"authors": [
"C. Raja Mohan"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Carnegie India"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "ctw",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie India",
"programAffiliation": "SAP",
"programs": [
"South Asia"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"Asia",
"South Asia",
"India",
"East Asia",
"China"
],
"topics": [
"Foreign Policy",
"Security"
]
}Source: Getty
Chinese Takeaway: Parrikar Missing
The tone of disinterest in Asian defense diplomacy, set by former Indian Defense Minister A.K. Antony during the UPA years, appears to continue under the Narendra Modi government.
Source: Indian Express
As top defence leaders from across the Indo-Pacific meet this week at the annual Shangri La Dialogue in Singapore, the Indian defence minister will once again be conspicuous by his absence. Rising China’s growing assertiveness and the uncertainties surrounding the American pivot to Asia have triggered an intensive interest in the region to expand defence engagement with New Delhi.
But the ministry of defence (MoD) seems as reluctant as ever to raise its regional security profile. Governments might come and go, but some things obviously don’t change at the MoD. The tone of disinterest in Asian defence diplomacy, set by A.K. Antony during the UPA years, appears to continue under the Narendra Modi government.
South Block’s reluctance to participate effectively in the Shangri La Dialogue stands in contrast to the growing importance of the forum. The deterioration of China’s relations with the US and Japan and the mounting military tensions between China and its Southeast Asian neighbours, especially Vietnam and the Philippines, have resulted in an intensification of regional defence diplomacy. With few formal mechanisms for addressing security challenges in Asia, the Shangri La Dialogue has become a valuable forum for the exchange of ideas and informal interaction between senior defence policymakers.During his eight long years at the MoD, Antony chose to speak at the Shangri La conference just once. Nor was there much certainty about who represents India. One year, it is the MoS for defence; it is the NSA or the chief of naval staff in others. In any case, the MoD does not decide until the very last minute on who might speak.
Acting East?
Last year, amid the regime change in Delhi, no one from the MoD showed up at the Shangri La Dialogue. For whatever reason, Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar has chosen to skip the forum. One wonders if the tall talk of “acting east” by PM Modi and External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj travels to the other end of South Block.
Expanding defence partnerships has become a dominant theme of foreign policy articulation by Modi and Swaraj. This has seen the renewal of the 10-year defence framework with the US, expanding the security partnerships in Asia with Japan, Mongolia, South Korea, Vietnam, Fiji and Australia. Modi and Swaraj have been more willing than the UPA to speak up on issues that animate Asia, especially the South China Sea, where Beijing, Hanoi and Manila are scrambling to secure their competing claims through land reclamation and expansion of military facilities. Last week, the Chinese navy challenged a US surveillance aircraft near the disputed Spratly Islands. A war of words between Beijing and Washington has ensued.
Modi has been forthright in affirming India’s strategic stakes in the South China Sea. He has underlined the importance of China respecting the freedom of navigation in the disputed waters. The NDA government has also set a valuable example to Beijing by settling India’s maritime territorial disputes with Bangladesh peacefully, in accordance with the principles of the UN Convention on the Law of the Seas.
Defence Diplomacy
Growing expectations in the region that the Modi government is ready to play a leadership role in securing a stable balance of power in Asia have also been reinforced by India’s impressive evacuation of civilians from Yemen and its quick response to the Nepal earthquake. If India has a great story to offer Asia on security issues, Parrikar will not be there to tell it in Singapore.
In normal circumstances, the Shangri La Dialogue would be a standard date on the defence minister’s annual calendar. He would be travelling there with senior officials for an intensive round of exchanges with key Asian states. But there is a big problem: the MoD has neither a policy commitment nor the institutional capability for defence diplomacy. If Modi does not change this, the shadow between Delhi’s diplomatic talk and defence action will continue to grow darker.
This article was originally published by the Indian Express.
About the Author
Former Nonresident Senior Fellow, Carnegie India
A leading analyst of India’s foreign policy, Mohan is also an expert on South Asian security, great-power relations in Asia, and arms control.
- Deepening the India-France Maritime PartnershipArticle
- Shanghai Cooperation Organization at Crossroads: Views From Moscow, Beijing and New DelhiCommentary
- +1
Alexander Gabuev, Paul Haenle, C. Raja Mohan, …
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
- What Should We Take From Andrey Melnichenko’s Essay in the Economist?Commentary
Andrey Melnichenko’s essay offers no answer to the fundamental question of how, under any kind of negotiated settlement, Europe can protect itself from the Russian ressentiment that is inevitable in all scenarios except for an outright victory for Putin.
Leonid Bershidsky
- Parliamentary Elections in Occupied Ukraine Risk Backfiring for the KremlinCommentary
Despite unhappiness on the ground, Moscow is determined to use both carrot and stick to ensure there is record support for United Russia in occupied Ukraine.
Konstantin Skorkin
- Lukashenko’s Concessions to Kyiv Reflect Russia’s WeaknessCommentary
The recent damage inflicted by Ukrainian drones and missiles on Russia has made Belarus aware of its own vulnerabilities—and surprisingly amenable to Kyiv’s demands.
Artyom Shraibman
- Could Ukraine Succeed in Torpedoing Putin’s Approval Ratings?Commentary
It is not a phenomenon unique to Russia that the public of a country at war (even the aggressor) enduring airstrikes will not overturn its government but rather show solidarity with it and blame its woes on the enemy.
Vladislav Gorin
- Iran War Fallout Gifts Putin Diplomatic Victory at ASEAN SummitCommentary
Russia looks set to reap economic benefits from closer ties with Southeast Asian countries that are keen to find reliable energy suppliers and diversify trade ties.
Alexander Gabuev