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Does Anyone Want Diplomacy on Iran?

IN THIS ISSUE: Who wants diplomacy on Iran?, India test fires Agni-I missile, Brazil's nuclear debate, Tepco meltdown simulation findings, Germany OKs sale of nuclear capable submarine to Israel, Japan, China and S. Korea agree on early nuclear accident notification system.

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Published on December 1, 2011

Proliferation News

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In This Issue
Who Wants Diplomacy on Iran?
Arms Control Wonk
India Test Fires Nuke Capable Agni-I Missile
Hindustan Times
Brazil's Nuclear Plans Stir Up Debate
UPI
Nuclear Experts Back Tepco Meltdown Simulation Findings
Japan Times
Germany Approves Sale of Nuclear Capable Submarine to Israel
Associated Press
Japan, China and South Korea's Nuclear Energy Authorities Agree on Early Notification System
Asahi Shimbun

Who Wants Diplomacy on Iran?

Mark Hibbs | Arms Control Wonk

Khamenei

Given the diplomatic fallout which began raining down with the pre-release of the IAEA board report on Iran to the P-5 at the beginning of November, I surmised then that there might be a chance that Russia would embellish a two-page offer which it floated to Iran this summer, and that the Obama administration might regard that as a potential opportunity to keep things from spiraling out of control in 2012.

Something like that could transpire. But the more likely prospect is that we will wait indefinitely and in vain for any action to develop a roadmap to resolve this crisis because it would appear that none of the players–not the United States, not the Euro P-2+1, not Russia and China, not Iran, and not Israel–really wants a negotiated settlement.

The logic for the US letting Russia move forward on its offer to Iran with some background guidance from Washington was this: President Obama through election day 2012 will be under pressure from Congress and Republican foes to be firm on Iran, depriving him of any freedom to lead the way toward a diplomatic resolution which the US has said it favors.    Full Article



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India Test Fires Nuke Capable Agni-I Missile
Hindustan Times
India on Thursday successfully test-fired its nuclear capable Agni-I strategic ballistic missile, with a strike range of 700 km, as part of the Army's user trial from the test range at Wheeler Island off Odisha coast. "The indigenously developed surface-to-surface, single-stage missile, powered by solid propellants, was test fired from a mobile launcher at about 0925 hrs from launch pad-4 of the Integrated Test Range."     Full Article

Brazil's Nuclear Plans Stir Up Debate
UPI
Brazil's nuclear program, including its ambitious moves to develop a nuclear-powered submarine with French help, is stirring debate that puts focus on the Latin American country's long-term aims in the field. While Argentina has expanded its nuclear power generation capacity Brazil has gone into nuclear fuel processing and hopes to deploy the technology into a nuclear-powered submarine it plans to build with French help.     Full Article

Nuclear Experts Back Tepco Meltdown Simulation Findings
Minoru Matsutani | Japan Times
While disputing the details, nuclear experts basically concurred Thursday with the findings of a computer simulation run by Tepco that concluded nuclear fuel in reactors at the Fukushima No. 1 plant had melted into but not breached their containment vessels. The announcement by Tepco Wednesday was the latest indication that three overheated cores at the plant had not penetrated their concrete and steel containers and melted deep into the earth.     Full Article

Germany Approves Sale of Nuclear Capable Submarine to Israel
Juergen Baetz | Associated Press
A senior German official says the government has approved the subsidized sale of another Dolphin-type military submarine to Israel. The official says Germany has set aside 135 million euro ($180 million) in next year's budget to pay for about a third of its cost. The official says Germany has set aside euro135 million ($180 million) in next year's budget to pay for about a third of its cost.     Full Article

Japan, China and South Korea's Nuclear Energy Authorities Agree on Early Notification System
Takashi Sugimoto | Asahi Shimbun
Japan, China and South Korea's nuclear energy authorities agreed on Nov. 29 to establish an early notification system to share information on accidents at nuclear power plants. The new system will be aimed at addressing criticism leveled in the wake of the accident at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant that Japan failed to keep other nations adequately informed.     Full Article

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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