Research

We deliver strategic ideas and independent analysis to help inform countries, institutions, and leaders as they take on the most difficult global problems.

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Abstract technology
paper
Measuring Changes Caused by Generative Artificial Intelligence: Setting the Foundations

Informed policy that leads to beneficial change is extremely challenging to develop without being able to measure the material impacts of GenAI.

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Technology abstract
paper
China Decoupling Beyond the United States: Comparing Germany, Japan, and India

Key U.S. partners are moving toward less technological integration with China.  But their specific paths diverge significantly based on domestic circumstances and varied relationships with Beijing.

Abstract artificial intelligence
article
AI Has Been Surprising for Years

AI presents a challenge for policymakers: a large number of potential risks have not emerged yet, but could emerge quickly. A first step toward navigating this challenge is recognizing that artificial intelligence doesn’t have the sort of stable, well-understood limitations it used to.

Featured Research
View of Cape Town at dawn, South Africa
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Priorities for the New U.S. Administration and Congress on Strengthening Economic Relations with Africa

The incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump has an opportunity to boldly reimagine the U.S. economic relationship with Africa in dynamic ways that advance U.S. strategic interests while being grounded in Africa’s current realities. This compendium identifies high impact areas that could transform U.S. engagement in Africa and offers actionable recommendations that could inform implementation.

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Abstract technology
paper
Measuring Changes Caused by Generative Artificial Intelligence: Setting the Foundations

Informed policy that leads to beneficial change is extremely challenging to develop without being able to measure the material impacts of GenAI.

  • +1
· January 9, 2025
Technology abstract
paper
China Decoupling Beyond the United States: Comparing Germany, Japan, and India

Key U.S. partners are moving toward less technological integration with China.  But their specific paths diverge significantly based on domestic circumstances and varied relationships with Beijing.

· January 8, 2025
An AI bot gathers a matrix of data.
paper
Speaking in Code: Contextualizing Large Language Models in Southeast Asia

Southeast Asia’s developers have sought to democratize AI by building language models that better represent the region’s languages, worldviews, and values. Yet, language is deeply political in a region as multiculturally diverse and complex as Southeast Asia. Can localized large language models truly preserve and project the region’s nuances?

· January 6, 2025
Abstract artificial intelligence
article
AI Has Been Surprising for Years

AI presents a challenge for policymakers: a large number of potential risks have not emerged yet, but could emerge quickly. A first step toward navigating this challenge is recognizing that artificial intelligence doesn’t have the sort of stable, well-understood limitations it used to.

· January 6, 2025
article
Saudi-Emirati Divergences Lead Hadhramawt to a Crossroad

Competition between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi over influence in the Yemeni governorate could lead to conflict between the two sides or their proxies, which risks provoking dangerous fragmentation.

· December 23, 2024
article
Influence Abroad: Saudi Arabia Replaces Salafism in its Soft Power Outreach

The kingdom aims to foster warmer international relationships by moving away from a religious approach that earned the royal family legitimacy; however it is adopting measures to minimize the potential price paid for this realignment.

· December 23, 2024
View of Cape Town at dawn, South Africa
research
Priorities for the New U.S. Administration and Congress on Strengthening Economic Relations with Africa

The incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump has an opportunity to boldly reimagine the U.S. economic relationship with Africa in dynamic ways that advance U.S. strategic interests while being grounded in Africa’s current realities. This compendium identifies high impact areas that could transform U.S. engagement in Africa and offers actionable recommendations that could inform implementation.

· December 20, 2024
(From 3rd L to R) Tanzania Vice-President Philip Isdor Mpango, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) President Felix Tshisekedi, US President Joe Biden, Angola President Joao Lourenco, Zambian President Hakainde Hichilema attend the Lobito Corridor Trans-Africa Summit at the Carrinho Food Processing Factory near Benguela on December 4, 2024.
paper
What Private Capital Cannot Do Alone: The Future of Global Infrastructure Development

For Global South governments to treat the United States as a credible partner in their economic development plans, U.S. policymakers must tackle the macroeconomic and structural constraints that kneecap the overall goals of sustainable development.

  • Advait Arun
· December 20, 2024
A customer is served at the Kenya Commercial Bank (KCB) in Nairobi on January 24, 2018.
article
The Case for an African Payments Union: Lessons from the European Experience

The realities of the global financial system make it nigh impossible for African governments to deliver employment and growth amid social and political instability and when financing is needed to transition away from fossil fuels.

  • Ann Pettifor
· December 19, 2024
Johannesburg Cityscape
article
Will Major Cities Continue to Shape Global Economic Governance?

Global cities have played a central role in the era of neoliberal economic governance, but there are several signs that this role is under strain or perhaps even coming to an end.

· December 19, 2024