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Nuclear Posture Review

IN THIS ISSUE: China and the U.S. nuclear posture review, Syria and the IAEA, deterrence in the age of nuclear proliferation, UN chief nuke inspector critical of Iran, failure at Bushehr raises concerns, France and South Africa strengthen nuclear bonds.

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Published on March 8, 2011

Proliferation News

Proliferation News is a biweekly newsletter highlighting the latest analysis and trends in the nuclear policy community.

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In This Issue
China and the U.S. Nuclear Posture Review
Carnegie Paper
Syria and the IAEA
Carnegie Q&A
Deterrence in the Age of Nuclear Proliferation
The Wall Street Journal
UN Chief Nuke Inspector Critical of Iran
The Washington Post
Failure at Iran's Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant Raises Concerns About Safety
Bloomberg
France and South Africa Strengthen Nuclear Bonds
World Nuclear News

China and the U.S. Nuclear Posture Review

Lora Saalman | Carnegie Paper

President Obama and President Hu Jintao

China is increasingly factored into U.S. nuclear strategy. When President Obama released the administration's Nuclear Posture Review (NPR)-a document that guides America's nuclear policy, strategy, capabilities, and force posture for the next five to ten years-in April 2010, China was named 36 times. By contrast, China was barely mentioned in the last NPR completed in 2002. The United States expressed its desire to enhance strategic stability with China, but there needs to be a better understanding of how China perceives America's nuclear posture.

While China is unsure how to interpret the NPR, there is a consensus among Chinese experts that the strategy lacks a complete definition of how strategic stability applies in the context of Sino-U.S. relations. The term-generally used in describing the U.S.-Russia relationship-often signifies a balance between two roughly equal or balanced nuclear powers, but there is a considerable disparity in numbers and capabilities between the United States and China.     Full Article

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Related Analysis
IAEA Chief Presses Iran, Syria to Come Clean on Nuclear Activities (Global Security Newswire)
Syria and the IAEA
Mark Hibbs | Carnegie Q&A
Recent reports have raised the possibility of additional undisclosed sites where uranium processing may have occurred. But the IAEA and its board will likely avoid escalating the conflict with Syria in part not to distract from its dispute with Iran, but also so not to endanger a possible accord between Syria and Israel which might in turn favor a political resolution of Syria's suspected clandestine nuclear activities.     Full Article

Deterrence in the Age of Nuclear Proliferation
George P. Shultz, William J. Perry, Henry A. Kissinger, and Sam Nunn | The Wall Street Journal
As long as there has been war, there have been efforts to deter actions a nation considers threatening. Until fairly recently, this meant building a military establishment capable of intimidating the adversary, defeating him or making his victory more costly than the projected gains. This, with conventional weapons, took time. Deterrence and war strategy were identical.     Full Article

 
 
Related Analysis
Unrest Complicates 2012 Middle East Meeting (Arms Control Today)
UN Chief Nuke Inspector Critical of Iran
George Jahn | The Washington Post
The head of the U.N. nuclear watchdog agency said Monday he cannot guarantee that Iran is not trying to develop atomic arms, comments that reflect the lack of progress in his attempts to probe Tehran's nuclear secrecy.     Full Article

Failure at Iran's Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant Raises Concerns About Safety
Peter S. Green | Bloomberg
A shattered cooling pump at Iran's only civilian nuclear-power reactor, forcing a shutdown during its initial start-up phase, has renewed safety concerns about the hybrid Russian-German power plant on the Persian Gulf coast.     Full Article

France and South Africa Strengthen Nuclear Bonds
World Nuclear News
A visit to France by South African President and members of his cabinet has provided a platform for strengthening cooperation on energy matters between the two countries, with agreements signed on nuclear development and training.     Full Article

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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