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Proliferation News 8/28/25

IN THIS ISSUE: The Countdown to Prevent Another Iranian Nuclear Crisis Just Began, Europe Moves to Reimpose Sanctions on Iran for Nuclear Work, After Blocking U.N. Nuclear Watchdog, Iran Allows Inspectors to Return, China says trilateral nuclear disarmament talks with US, Russia 'unreasonable', Energy Department orders "special" investigation of plutonium pit problems, With Russia’s help, North Korea expands its nuclear weapons capability

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Published on August 28, 2025

Proliferation News

Proliferation News is a biweekly newsletter highlighting the latest analysis and trends in the nuclear policy community.

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The Countdown to Prevent Another Iranian Nuclear Crisis Just Began

Nicole Grajewski | Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Time is running out to avert a renewed nuclear crisis with Iran. On August 28, Britain, France, and Germany (the E3) formally declared Iran in “significant non-performance” of its nuclear obligations under the Iran nuclear deal. As a result, within the next thirty days, all prior UN sanctions will be reimposed on Iran—known as the snapback mechanism—unless an agreement that satisfies all five veto-wielding Security Council members can be reached… The United States should seize the initiative and press both its European allies and Iran to extend the snapback mechanism.


Europe Moves to Reimpose Sanctions on Iran for Nuclear Work

Laurence Norman | The Wall Street Journal

The U.K., France and Germany moved to reimpose all the international sanctions on Iran that had been lifted under the 2015 nuclear deal, according to diplomats involved in the process, a decision that European governments hope will compel Tehran to resume nuclear negotiations with the Trump administration… The European decision on Thursday triggers a 30-day period after which Iran would once again face an array of international United Nations-backed economic, banking, weapons and trade sanctions that pummeled its economy before the 2015 deal was struck.


After Blocking U.N. Nuclear Watchdog, Iran Allows Inspectors to Return

Erika Solomon and Julian E. Barnes | The New York Times

The United Nations’ nuclear watchdog has sent a team of inspectors back to Iran for the first time since the country suspended cooperation with the agency last month, in what could be a step toward restoring independent oversight of Tehran’s nuclear program… While inspectors visited Bushehr, Iran’s operating nuclear power plant, Rafael Grossi, the director general of the I.A.E.A., told reporters in Washington that he anticipated his organization would be able to inspect the three Iranian facilities struck in American military attacks in June.


China says trilateral nuclear disarmament talks with US, Russia 'unreasonable'

Reuters/Yahoo

China said on Wednesday that it is "unreasonable and unrealistic" to ask the country to join nuclear disarmament negotiations with the United States and Russia. Guo Jiakun, a spokesperson for the Chinese foreign ministry, made the remarks after U.S. President Donald Trump said he had discussed nuclear arms control with Russian President Vladimir Putin and wanted China to be involved too.


Energy Department orders "special" investigation of plutonium pit problems

Colin Demarest | Axios

Deputy Energy Secretary James Danly earlier this month ordered a 120-day "special study" of the pit production endeavor overseen by the National Nuclear Security Administration. It includes a review of NNSA leadership and management practices; individual projects at Savannah River Site and Los Alamos National Laboratory; and contractual mechanisms "to hold contractors to account."


With Russia’s help, North Korea expands its nuclear weapons capability

Michelle Ye Hee Lee | The Washington Post

At the start of 2021, Kim announced a five-year plan to build more nuclear-capable weapons, a wish list that seemed far-fetched at the time. The leader of one of the world’s poorest countries aspired for some capabilities only a few major military powers had mastered… Kim, it turns out, had impeccable timing. One year after announcing his goals, Russia launched a war against Ukraine — paving the way for a new era of friendship between Pyongyang and Moscow.

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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