For decades, the West has been unable to build an effective strategy vis-à-vis Belarus due to the country’s limited geopolitical importance, its growing dependence on Moscow, and the absence of leverage over Minsk’s strategic decision-making.
The Belarusian authorities have taken steps to limit Russian businesses from buying up too many local companies.
Just the appearance of a body like the All-Belarusian People’s Assembly after the elections will legitimize conversations about succession within the ruling elite.
A talk on how the situation in Belarus has changed over the past three years, the effects of the war in Ukraine on Belarusian state and society, the regime’s new repressive tools, its growing dependence on Russia, the shared values of Belarusians, and the democratic future of Belarus.
How the Stalemate in Ukraine Has Quietly Revived Lukashenko’s Autocracy
The European Commission president’s remarks will be a guide for understanding how she might navigate upcoming turbulence.
Belarus’ democratic forces recognise the sad reality: the connection between them and the majority of Belarusians inside the country is broken.
