Belarus

Putin sitting at long table with generals on the end

commentary

Emissary

Russia’s Updated Nuclear Doctrine Isn’t a Blueprint for Weapons Use. Its Primary Value Is Manipulation.

Moscow’s actual nuclear decisions would likely not involve Putin carefully parsing doctrinal clauses.

Nicole Grajewski

· November 26, 2024

event

What Would a Proactive Western Strategy on Belarus Look Like?

April 17, 2024

For decades, the West has been unable to build an effective strategy vis-à-vis Belarus due to the country’s limited geopolitical importance, its growing dependence on Moscow, and the absence of leverage over Minsk’s strategic decision-making.

Artyom Shraibman,
Alesia Rudnik,
Lev Lvovskiy

commentary

Carnegie Politika

Podcast: Is Western Apathy Trapping Belarus in Russia's Embrace?

Carnegie Politika podcast host Alex Gabuev is joined by Artyom Shraibman, a non-resident fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, to discuss his new paper for Carnegie Endowment, "Getting Off the Back Foot: Guiding Principles for a Proactive Western Strategy on Belarus."

· April 16, 2024

paper

Getting Off the Back Foot: Guiding Principles for a Proactive Western Strategy on Belarus

Western leaders’ apathy and lack of interest in Belarus risk creating a self-fulfilling prophecy that leaves Belarus trapped in Moscow’s smothering embrace more or less indefinitely. This paper identifies options for a more effective Western strategy that takes into account existing opportunities and limitations.

Artyom Shraibman

· April 4, 2024

commentary

Carnegie Politika

Rehearsing Repression: Belarus Takes No Chances in First Vote Since 2020 Unrest

As far as the Belarusian regime is concerned, the threat comes not from its own society, but from external enemies who will use every opportunity to repeat the mass unrest of 2020. That means that every possible weak spot must be shored up.

Artyom Shraibman

· February 28, 2024

commentary

Carnegie Politika

Belarus Is Reluctant to Share Fleeing Western Firms’ Assets With Russia

The Belarusian authorities have taken steps to limit Russian businesses from buying up too many local companies.

Olga Loyko

· December 5, 2023

commentary

Carnegie Politika

Belarus Gears Up for Elections and Powerful New People’s Assembly

Just the appearance of a body like the All-Belarusian People’s Assembly after the elections will legitimize conversations about succession within the ruling elite.

Artyom Shraibman

· November 14, 2023

in the media

Belarus Three Years After Protest

A talk on how the situation in Belarus has changed over the past three years, the effects of the war in Ukraine on Belarusian state and society, the regime’s new repressive tools, its growing dependence on Russia, the shared values of Belarusians, and the democratic future of Belarus.