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Operation Aspides, or the Peril of Low Expectations in Yemen

For the foreseeable future, maritime trade through the Red Sea will remain a hostage to Ansar Allah and Iran. They will likely use this to secure concessions elsewhere.

· November 19, 2024
commentary
Iran Has Shown Its Vulnerabilities

Tehran’s attempts to establish “new equations” of deterrence through direct strikes on Israel have largely backfired.

· October 28, 2024
paper
Borders Without a Nation: Syria, Outside Powers, and Open-Ended Instability

In Syria’s border regions, changes in demographics, economics, and security mean that an inter-Syrian peace process will require consensus among main regional powers that Syria must remain united, that no one side can be victorious, and that perennial instability threatens the region.

· September 10, 2024
In The Media
in the media
Maha Yahya on CNN After Israel Hezbollah Trade Fire

Maha Yahya comments on tensions following Israel Hezbollah trade fire.

· August 26, 2024
CNN
commentary
Hezbollah Has Retaliated for Israel’s Assassination of Its Senior Commander Fouad Shukr

Spot analysis from Carnegie scholars on events relating to the Middle East and North Africa.

· August 25, 2024
research
The Military and Private Business Actors in the Global South: The Politics of Market Access

The interaction of national armed forces and private business sectors offers a useful lens for viewing the politics of numerous countries of the so-called Global South. A rising trend of military political activism—often accompanied by military commercial activity—underlines the importance of drivers and outcomes in these relationships.

· August 19, 2024