Commentary
The current U.S. indifference to human rights means Astana no longer has any incentive to refuse extradition requests from its authoritarian neighbors—including Russia.
Temur Umarov
{
"authors": [],
"type": "pressRelease",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "ctw",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "russia",
"programs": [
"Russia and Eurasia"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"Caucasus",
"Georgia"
],
"topics": [
"Foreign Policy"
]
}
REQUIRED IMAGE
Press Release
Charting a future for Georgia in uncertain times
Georgia is entering a period of political transition and will have a new constitution after parliamentary and presidential elections in 2012 and 2013. While the current government has made progress in building a functioning state, the country’s economic situation is increasingly uncertain.
Published on Jun 13, 2011
WASHINGTON—Georgia is entering a period of political transition and will have a new constitution after parliamentary and presidential elections in 2012 and 2013. While the current government has made progress in building a functioning state, the country’s economic situation is increasingly uncertain.
In a new report, Thomas de Waal examines the challenges facing Georgia and argues that the government must start building institutions and choose a long-term development model after years of governing in an informal and improvisational way. The governing elite has no serious domestic political opposition and risks turning Georgia into a one-party state.
Models for Georgia’s Future:
- The “old Georgia” model: This conservative option representing the country’s traditional value system and way of doing business offers little as an economic or political model.
- The “Singapore” model: Opening Georgia to worldwide investment enjoys support, especially from an influential libertarian group seeking greater deregulation. But with foreign investment falling, this model does little to solve problems like rural poverty and high unemployment
- The EU model: A comprehensive free trade agreement with the European Union would offer privileged access to the EU single market in return for institutional reform. Although a painful process, this is Georgia’s best hope for long-term development.
“Georgia now faces real dilemmas whose resolution will determine how the country develops,” de Waal writes. “Greater integration with the EU will not deliver an economic miracle to Georgia, but having a European anchor would ensure greater political stability for Georgia, which in turn would benefit the economy.”
NOTES
Click here to read the full report
Thomas de Waal is a senior associate in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment, specializing primarily in the South Caucasus region comprising Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia and their breakaway territories, as well as the wider Black Sea region.
The Carnegie Russia and Eurasia Program has, since the end of the Cold War, led the field on Eurasian security, including strategic nuclear weapons and nonproliferation, development, economic and social issues, governance, and the rule of law.
Press Contact: Karly Schledwitz, +1 202 939 2233, pressoffice@ceip.org
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
- Why Has Kazakhstan Started Deporting Political Activists?
- Why Are China and Russia Not Rushing to Help Iran?Commentary
Most of Moscow’s military resources are tied up in Ukraine, while Beijing’s foreign policy prioritizes economic ties and avoids direct conflict.
Alexander Gabuev, Temur Umarov
- Georgia’s Fall From U.S. Favor Heralds South Caucasus RealignmentCommentary
With the White House only interested in economic dealmaking, Georgia finds itself eclipsed by what Armenia and Azerbaijan can offer.
Bashir Kitachaev
- What Does War in the Middle East Mean for Russia–Iran Ties?Commentary
If the regime in Tehran survives, it could be obliged to hand Moscow significant political influence in exchange for supplies of weapons and humanitarian aid.
Nikita Smagin
- How Trump’s Wars Are Boosting Russian Oil ExportsCommentary
The interventions in Iran and Venezuela are in keeping with Trump’s strategy of containing China, but also strengthen Russia’s position.
Mikhail Korostikov
