Commentary
European reactions to the war in Iran have lost sight of wider political dynamics. The EU must position itself for the next phase of the crisis without giving up on its principles.
Richard Youngs
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Source: Getty
In The Media
Violent Protests, Judge Shortages Plague Egypt's Referendum
Rallies and protests centered on Egypt's constitutional referendum turned violent as the struggle for the political future of Egypt continues.
Published on Dec 14, 2012
Source: NewsHour
The voting was split into two rounds -- this Saturday and Dec. 22 -- to ensure enough judges would be available to supervise polling sites after many decided to go on strike.
Nathan Brown, professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University, and Mokhtar Awad, junior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, discussed the discontent in Egypt. They answered the following questions in a joint email:What is it about the constitution that the opposition doesn't like?
Their original complaints were about the process -- that it was written by an assembly that was dominated by Islamists. They have other procedural complaints as well -- the speed of the drafting and the short time between the drafting and the referendum. They are beginning to develop criticism of the content as well-they say the draft is too presidential, offers weak protections for basic rights, and enshrines conservative religious principles in law. These criticisms have some foundation, though some are exaggerated.
Why did they decide to urge a "no" vote rather than a boycott?
This was a big topic of debate. They have been pressured by some to come up with a positive agenda rather than just a negative one; they may also be drawing back from seeming to want to delegitimate the entire system. They hope that a narrow win will but enough pressure on Morsi domestically and internationally that it will stop emerging authoritarian tendencies. They also may hope to get practice for parliamentary elections that follow in two months should the constitution be approved.
In general, why has each step been problematic in Egypt?
The process was badly designed at the beginning with the military taking full control over the process and mismanaging it rather than setting up a consensual transition leadership. Egypt has been run by a series of constitutional declarations since the suspension of the 1971 constitution, the first of which was a 63 article constitutional declaration issued on March 30, 2011 to govern the provisional period-it mostly included articles from the 1971 constitution, including articles amended by the March 19, 2011 referendum. The March 30, 2011 constitutional declaration was a complicated and problematic document and helped set the stage for an opaque and legally confusing transitional period.
About the Authors
Nathan J. Brown
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Middle East Program
Nathan J. Brown, a professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University, is a distinguished scholar and author of nine books on Arab politics and governance, as well as editor of five books.
Mokhtar Awad
Former Junior Fellow, Middle East Program
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
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