• Research
  • Strategic Europe
  • About
  • Experts
Carnegie Europe logoCarnegie lettermark logo
EUUkraine
  • Donate
{
  "authors": [
    "Dmitri Trenin"
  ],
  "type": "legacyinthemedia",
  "centerAffiliationAll": "",
  "centers": [
    "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
    "Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center"
  ],
  "collections": [],
  "englishNewsletterAll": "",
  "nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
  "primaryCenter": "Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center",
  "programAffiliation": "",
  "programs": [],
  "projects": [],
  "regions": [
    "North America",
    "United States",
    "Russia",
    "Western Europe"
  ],
  "topics": [
    "Foreign Policy",
    "Global Governance"
  ]
}

Source: Getty

In The Media
Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center

Exclusion From West Leaves Russians Convinced of Own National Destiny

Divisions exist among major nations about how to approach Putin, and his isolation is anything but watertight. At the same time, the Russians themselves are no less defiant of what they see as U.S. global domination.

Link Copied
By Dmitri Trenin
Published on Jun 23, 2015

Source: Global Times

The summit of the G7, held at Schloss Elmau in the Bavarian Alps early this month, did not have Russia at the table, but it had it on the agenda. After having been expelled from what was then the G8, just a couple of months before the scheduled summit in Sochi, Russia is not being brought back to the group, and is not eager to return. A long chapter of Russia’s attempted, and failed integration into the Western community, is over. The Elmau summiteers have agreed to extend the sanctions they imposed on Russia last year, in an effort to change the Kremlin’s policies on Ukraine.

Despite the show of Western unity, nuances in positions of various countries are clearly visible. The German foreign minister, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, will keep the G7 door open for Russia in the future. Two former German chancellors, Gerhard Schroder and Helmut Schmidt, criticized US-driven policies and called for understanding of Russia's motives. Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has won grudging approval from the US to continue the dialogue with Russian President Vladimir Putin and even to host him in Japan later this year.

Another G7 leader, Italy’s Matteo Renzi, actually welcomed Putin in Milan immediately after having returned from Elmau. The two leaders were heard praising Russo-Italian economic cooperation, and lamenting the effect of the sanctions which Renzi had just subscribed to.

While on the same trip, Putin made another visit, with Pope Francis at the Vatican, to discuss the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East and the plight of Christians. According to Russian accounts, the meeting went well, despite the US ambassador Kenneth Hackett's urging the Pontific to lean hard on Putin over Ukraine.

Putin’s isolation, even in the West, is anything but water-tight. Since the crisis in Ukraine began in late February 2014, he has visited Austria, France, Hungary and Australia (for the G20 meeting) - and now also Italy. Just last month, he received several European leaders, including German Chancellor Angela Merkel, in Moscow. US Secretary of State John Kerry went to see Putin at his vacation residence in Sochi. Russia is still important to the Obama administration when it comes to its own legacy issues, such as the Iran nuclear deal, or the crises at hand, like in Syria.

Having adjusted to the “new normal” of sanctions and much lower oil prices, the Russians themselves are no less defiant of what they see as US global domination.

In recent weeks, Russian warplanes flew dangerously close to US reconnaissance planes in the Baltic and overflew US Navy ships in the Black Sea. The message these high-wire acts carried were very clear: The US military should not come too close to Russian airspace and its territorial waters. This has resulted in Washington requesting meetings in accordance with the 1972 US-Soviet agreement on preventing dangerous accidents in the air and at sea, probably just what Moscow had wanted.

During his very warm get-together with Putin in Milan, Renzi said he planned to visit the 2018 World Cup in Russia. Just a few days before that, a major corruption scandal had broken out at FIFA, whose long-time head, and friend of Russia, Sepp Blatter was forced to resign after having just won his fifth presidential term. As the scandal potentially threatened the holding of the World Cup in Russia, the Russian media accused the US of a conspiracy to ease out Blatter, take over FIFA and deny Russia the Cup. Putin himself spoke up publicly against the US justice system respecting no national borders, a theme he has been singing since his memorable appearance at the 2007 Munich Security Conference.

As 2015 is nearing half-time, Russia’s confrontation with the US is unabated. Both Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush, two leading presidential contenders, used harsh language against Russia's policies and Putin personally. The US Congress has voted to send lethal weapons to Ukraine - something Obama opposes. The 1987 INF Treaty banning medium-range missiles in Europe is in trouble, and there are hints at deploying US missiles in the UK. Europe, and particularly Germany, is still with the US, but the game is long and the final outcome is uncertain.

As for Russians, who celebrated their national day on June 12, according to public opinion polls, they have never been as proud of their country in two decades.

This article originally appeared in Global Times.

About the Author

Dmitri Trenin

Former Director, Carnegie Moscow Center

Trenin was director of the Carnegie Moscow Center from 2008 to early 2022.

    Recent Work

  • Commentary
    Mapping Russia’s New Approach to the Post-Soviet Space

      Dmitri Trenin

  • Commentary
    What a Week of Talks Between Russia and the West Revealed

      Dmitri Trenin

Dmitri Trenin
Former Director, Carnegie Moscow Center
Foreign PolicyGlobal GovernanceNorth AmericaUnited StatesRussiaWestern Europe

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie Europe

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    The Speech Ursula von der Leyen Can’t Deliver

    European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is about to give her annual address on the state of the EU. Here’s what she won’t—but should—say.

      • Rym Momtaz

      Rym Momtaz

  • Le Pen France Far Right
    Article
    How Europe’s 2027 Elections Could Test EU Governance

    Radical-right parties are expected to do well in upcoming elections in four of the EU's biggest member states. If successful, they could prevent the union from addressing key challenges ahead.

      Stefan Lehne

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Europe Fails to Learn the Lessons from Ceuta

    The aftermath of the Ceuta crisis shows Europe has drawn the wrong lessons. Rather than doubling down on failed migration policies, the EU needs to address the underlying roots of such episodes.

      Richard Youngs

  • Carney Canada EU Trump
    Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Taking the Pulse: Is Canada Leading a Third Way?

    Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has twice inspired praise for standing up to U.S. President Donald Trump: at the 2026 World Economic Forum in Davos and on Canada-U.S. trade negotiations. Is Carney showing a third way better than the EU has in dealing with the Trump administration?

      • Rym Momtaz

      Rym Momtaz, ed.

  • Von der Leyen Antonio Costa EU Europe
    Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Europe’s Self-Confidence Problem

    The EU’s responses to two recent incidents expose the gulf between European perceptions and capabilities. Unless the union can bridge that gap, it will never become a real geostrategic power.

      • Rym Momtaz

      Rym Momtaz

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Europe
Carnegie Europe logo, white
Rue du Congrès, 151000 Brussels, Belgium
  • Research
  • Strategic Europe
  • About
  • Experts
  • Projects
  • Events
  • Contact
  • Careers
  • Privacy
  • For Media
  • Gender Equality Plan
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Europe
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.