• Research
  • Strategic Europe
  • About
  • Experts
Carnegie Europe logoCarnegie lettermark logo
EUUkraine
  • Donate
{
  "authors": [
    "Jon Bateman"
  ],
  "type": "legacyinthemedia",
  "centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
  "centers": [
    "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"
  ],
  "collections": [
    "U.S. Democracy in Comparative Perspective"
  ],
  "englishNewsletterAll": "ctw",
  "nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
  "primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
  "programAffiliation": "TIA",
  "programs": [
    "Technology and International Affairs"
  ],
  "projects": [],
  "regions": [
    "North America",
    "United States",
    "Russia",
    "Iran"
  ],
  "topics": [
    "Political Reform",
    "Democracy",
    "Foreign Policy",
    "Technology"
  ]
}

Source: Getty

In The Media

American Voters Deserve Facts on Outside Influence on this Election

Voters should demand actionable intelligence on foreign influence which is targeting the 2020 election. After all, the principal defense remains the public itself.

Link Copied
By Jon Bateman
Published on Jul 26, 2020

Source: Hill

Four years ago, Russian influence on the American election rocked our politics. Broad concern led United States intelligence agencies to reveal much of what they knew. Today the threat remains, but the attention has faded and the transparency is gone. Wild allegations fill this vacuum, like the claim by President Trump that other countries could print millions of mail ballots. Meanwhile, real evidence of active foreign influence is kept secret. The public hears only vague warnings of ongoing dangers.

Voters should demand actionable intelligence on foreign influence which is targeting the 2020 election. After all, the principal defense remains the public itself. Basic information can help citizens spot hallmarks of foreign manipulation and fact check their own leaders. Who are the main foreign actors? What are their agendas and narratives? The federal government can answer these questions, but it remarkably has chosen not to.

Indeed, as a former intelligence officer who spent years tracking foreign adversaries online, I am simply dismayed by this silence. I am afraid that the coronavirus has only raised the stakes. With campaigns going virtual, foreign trolls and propagandists have new avenues to covertly manipulate political discourse. Yet instead of educating American voters, government leaders resist public testimony. Meanwhile, tens of millions of voters have already cast primary ballots, and the general election now looms.

Just consider what the American people have been told about the major threat of Russia. Over one year ago, the director of national intelligence released a two sentence assessment of Russian influence efforts that said Moscow “will continue to focus on aggravating social and racial tensions, undermining trust in authorities, and criticizing” politicians perceived to be against Russia. This very brief statement omitted crucial details, such as how Russian tactics have shifted since 2016 and what the voters have to look out for. A belated update this month gave no new substance.

The entire primary came and went without any official word about Russian influence. Instead, press leaks became the means of sharing intelligence with the public. The result is a whirlwind of disputed storylines over basic matters such as which candidates Russia has supported. Earlier this year, reports indicated Moscow was aiding Trump, based on some anonymous accounts of a closed intelligence briefing. The White House pushed back, citing contrary secret briefings. Another round of stories suggested initial reports had overstated the intelligence about Russia helping Trump. Such accounts had also relied on unnamed sources with opaque agendas.

Intelligence leaders could have cleared things up for the public, but they called the matter classified. Congress spent months looking for answers. Average citizens still have no way to sort out conflicting assertions and must simply await the next leak. This game of telephone cannot be the American system of educating citizens about threats to our democracy. Voters deserve authoritative assessments from intelligence officials.

The standard rationale for keeping intelligence under wraps is to protect sensitive sources. But it is possible to share conclusions without exposing the evidence. Indeed, the intelligence community had released a lengthy assessment of Russian influence efforts in the 2016 election. While it was sanitized, it answered important questions. What did Russia do? How and why did Russia do it? Who ordered it? It still remains a gold standard.

The biggest limitation of the report was its timing. With the 2016 election already decided, American voters had no opportunity to respond. That is why a bipartisan Senate panel recently urged that “the public should be informed as soon as possible” of any foreign influence campaign for the 2020 election. The federal government adopted a process for this, but it never actually used it. Why not? I know from experience that intelligence agencies are profoundly resistant to communication with the public.

Secrecy is ingrained. Analysts write only for their “customers” with proper clearances and a need to know. The spy agencies have grown particularly reticent under this administration, fearing any disclosures that may draw ire from Trump. But these are not adequate justifications for withholding critical information from the public. Citizens have been conscripted into modern information warfare, so national defense depends partly on how well the public understands this battlefield. The American people should be considered intelligence customers with an urgent need to know.

Public release of intelligence is always delicate. A botched rollout in the middle of the campaign season could become its own form of election interference. Recrimination lingers from the FBI involvement in the 2016 election, and there is a legitimate fear of a political intelligence process. Careless disclosures might also sow undue panic over foreign influence, accidentally helping adversaries delegitimize the election results.

But responsible transparency is better than shrouded secrecy. Leaks and distortions proliferate and often drown out truthful information. A timely public record would end these games and make the federal government more accountable for addressing election influence, a signature threat of our era. Voters deserve facts on active foreign efforts to manipulate them. With the election just months away, there is no more time to waste.

This article was originally published by the Hill.

About the Author

Jon Bateman
Jon Bateman

Senior Fellow and Co-Director, Technology and International Affairs Program

Jon Bateman is a senior fellow and co-director of the Technology and International Affairs Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

    Recent Work

  • Q&A
    Are All Wars Now Drone Wars?
      • Jon Bateman

      Jon Bateman, Steve Feldstein

  • Q&A
    The Most Likely Outcomes of Trump’s Order Targeting State AI Laws
      • Jon Bateman
      • Anton Leicht
      • +1

      Jon Bateman, Anton Leicht, Alasdair Phillips-Robins, …

Jon Bateman
Senior Fellow and Co-Director, Technology and International Affairs Program
Jon Bateman
Political ReformDemocracyForeign PolicyTechnologyNorth AmericaUnited StatesRussiaIran

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie Europe

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Taking the Pulse: Is France’s New Nuclear Doctrine Ambitious Enough?

    French President Emmanuel Macron has unveiled his country’s new nuclear doctrine. Are the changes he has made enough to reassure France’s European partners in the current geopolitical context?

      • Rym Momtaz

      Rym Momtaz, ed.

  • Commentary
    The Iran War’s Dangerous Fallout for Europe

    The drone strike on the British air base in Akrotiri brings Europe’s proximity to the conflict in Iran into sharp relief. In the fog of war, old tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean risk being reignited, and regional stakeholders must avoid escalation.

      Marc Pierini

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    The EU Needs a Third Way in Iran

    European reactions to the war in Iran have lost sight of wider political dynamics. The EU must position itself for the next phase of the crisis without giving up on its principles.

      Richard Youngs

  • Trump United Nations multilateralism institutions 2236462680
    Article
    Resetting Cyber Relations with the United States

    For years, the United States anchored global cyber diplomacy. As Washington rethinks its leadership role, the launch of the UN’s Cyber Global Mechanism may test how allies adjust their engagement.

      • Christopher Painter

      Patryk Pawlak, Chris Painter

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Global Instability Makes Europe More Attractive, Not Less

    Europe isn’t as weak in the new geopolitics of power as many would believe. But to leverage its assets and claim a sphere of influence, Brussels must stop undercutting itself.

      Dimitar Bechev

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Europe
Carnegie Europe logo, white
Rue du Congrès, 151000 Brussels, Belgium
  • Research
  • Strategic Europe
  • About
  • Experts
  • Projects
  • Events
  • Contact
  • Careers
  • Privacy
  • For Media
  • Gender Equality Plan
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Europe
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.