• Research
  • Diwan
  • About
  • Experts
Carnegie Middle East logoCarnegie lettermark logo
LebanonIran
{
  "authors": [
    "Jan Techau"
  ],
  "type": "other",
  "centerAffiliationAll": "",
  "centers": [
    "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
    "Carnegie Europe"
  ],
  "collections": [],
  "englishNewsletterAll": "",
  "nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
  "primaryCenter": "Carnegie Europe",
  "programAffiliation": "",
  "programs": [],
  "projects": [],
  "regions": [
    "Asia",
    "Europe",
    "East Asia",
    "China",
    "Western Europe",
    "Germany"
  ],
  "topics": [
    "Foreign Policy",
    "EU",
    "Economy",
    "Trade"
  ]
}

Source: Getty

Other
Carnegie Europe

China Looks for Answers Within Heart of Europe’s Common Power

Germans and Europeans at large are in a very similar economic situation to the Chinese in many ways.

Link Copied
By Jan Techau
Published on May 26, 2013

Source: Global Times

China sees Germany as having a strong dominating role and as the key power in Europe. It sees Germany as the country with which China has the strongest trade relationship in Europe.

China has for a long time dealt with Europe primarily though the member states, not so much through Brussels. When it looks at the member states and it has to pick only one, it picks Germany.

Trade concerns are by far the biggest concerns in the Sin0-German relationship. China is very smart in realizing that Germany is not a geopolitical player plays a big role in the Middle East or the Eastern Europe, or in Asia or in Africa. But it's a player in its development agenda.

In fact, China is looking at Europe as a whole, not so much as a geostrategic player. The Chinese don't see Europe as a power that is a global power in its power projection reach, they see Europe primarily as an economic force, a financial force and trade force.

This is why the economic relationship is by far the most dominant. So the geopolitical interests of Europe are much smaller than the trade influence.

However, there are risks there with the bilateral relationship getting increasingly close, especially in the trade field.

Trade policies in Europe are truly communalized policy, which means individual countries don't have trade policies anymore. The trade policies are negotiated by the EU for all its member states.

However, when it comes to foreign direct investments and specific kinds of investments agreements, individual countries could still cultivate their relationship with China.

Germany is in a good position because it's such a strong exporter. That Germany feels strong enough to try to impose some of its own interests on Europe creates frictions on the European side.

Germans and the Europeans at large are in a very similar situation to the Chinese in many ways. Both Chinese and Europeans rely on a global system that we don't ourselves guarantee. We are not the ones who keep it in place. Somebody else does that, and it's the US for the most part.

But as the US is getting weaker, both the Chinese and Europeans are asked to become pillars of the system. We are both facing a strategic dilemma. Both China and Europe need to become stronger stakeholder, but at the same time, both are tied down by domestic constraints.

Currently, the European crisis makes many European countries focus on how to survive. Both leaderships are very much inward looking, but there is a strong demand in the outside to become more globalized, not only economically but politically.

This article was originally published in the Global Times.

About the Author

Jan Techau

Director, Europe Team, Eurasia Group

Techau is director with Eurasia Group's Europe team, covering Germany and European security from Berlin. Previously, he was director of Carnegie Europe.

    Recent Work

  • Commentary
    Can Europe Trust the United States Again?

      Nathalie Tocci, Jan Techau

  • Commentary
    Pre-Reformation Europe and the Coming Schism

      Jan Techau

Jan Techau
Director, Europe Team, Eurasia Group
Jan Techau
Foreign PolicyEUEconomyTradeAsiaEuropeEast AsiaChinaWestern EuropeGermany

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center

  • Commentary
    Diwan
    The Israel Lobby, U.S. Foreign Policy, and Domestic Liberties

    In an interview, Ian Lustick and Eli Clifton discuss their new book on why a prominent ally has so much influence in America.

      Michael Young

  • Commentary
    Diwan
    On AI, Cairo Plays China and the U.S. Off Against Each Other

    Huawei pushed hard to enter the Egyptian data centers market, until the Americans made a better offer.

      • Angie Omar

      Angie Omar

  • Commentary
    Diwan
    In the Trump Gaza Plan, Diplomatic Failure is Success

    By failing to address Palestinian representation, the current process is bound to lead to just another temporary arrangement.

      Nathan J. Brown

  • Paper
    Egypt’s Military Landlord Economy and its Limitations

    The armed forces champion a form of capitalism that is generating revenue, but its reliance on rent faces diminishing returns, leaving the country with massive sunk costs and deferred returns, deepening dependency on external borrowing.

      Yezid Sayigh

  • Article
    From Hormuz to the Maghreb: The Geopolitical Reach of a Gulf Crisis

    Morocco and Algeria, each in its own way, are having to navigate the global economic fallout of the U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran.

      Yasmine Zarhloule

Get more news and analysis from
Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center
Carnegie Middle East logo, white
  • Research
  • Diwan
  • About
  • Experts
  • Projects
  • Events
  • Contact
  • Careers
  • Privacy
  • For Media
Get more news and analysis from
Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.