• Research
  • Emissary
  • About
  • Experts
Carnegie Global logoCarnegie lettermark logo
Democracy
  • Donate
{
  "authors": [],
  "type": "pressRelease",
  "centerAffiliationAll": "",
  "centers": [
    "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"
  ],
  "collections": [],
  "englishNewsletterAll": "",
  "nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
  "primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
  "programAffiliation": "",
  "programs": [
    "Asia"
  ],
  "projects": [],
  "regions": [],
  "topics": []
}
REQUIRED IMAGE

REQUIRED IMAGE

Press Release

Policy Brief Assesses U.S. Record in Nation-Building, Offers Critical Lessons for Iraq

Link Copied
Published on Apr 11, 2003
Program mobile hero image

Program

Asia

The Asia Program in Washington studies disruptive security, governance, and technological risks that threaten peace, growth, and opportunity in the Asia-Pacific region, including a focus on China, Japan, and the Korean peninsula.

Learn More

Source: Carnegie

For Immediate Release: April 11, 2003
Contact: Jayne Brady, 202-939-2372, jbrady@ceip.org
OR Carmen MacDougall, 202-939-2319, cmacdougall@ceip.org

Unilateral Nation-Building and Surrogate Regimes Spell Failure

Democratic nation-building is among the most ambitious and difficult of foreign policy undertakings for the United States, notes a new policy brief, "Lessons from the Past: The American Record in Nation-Building," by Carnegie Endowment Senior Associate Minxin Pei and Junior Fellow Sara Kasper. The policy brief gives an overview of U.S. attempts at nation-building-then analyzes the critical variables for success, based on the results.

The United States made 16 attempts at nation-building over the past century. But ten years after the departure of American forces, democracy was sustained in only four countries. Two of these followed total defeat and surrender (Japan and West Germany), and two were in tiny countries (Grenada and Panama).

The record also reveals that unilateral nation-building by the United States has an even lower success rate. Following American military intervention, targeted nations are usually governed by American-supported surrogate regimes or direct American administration. The use of interim surrogate regimes has produced a record of complete failure. No American-supported regime made the transition to democracy, and only one case of direct American administration (in Japan) succeeded in ushering-in democracy.

The policy brief concludes that in Iraq the Bush administration should support a multilateral reconstruction strategy centered on bolstering political legitimacy and economic burden-sharing under the auspices of the United Nations.

Minxin Pei, senior associate and codirector of the China Program, specializes in Chinese domestic politics. His research covers a range of subjects, including economic reform, U.S. relations with Asia, and democratization in developing countries.

Sara Kasper is a junior fellow in the China Program. She received her B.A. in politics from Messiah College in Pennsylvania.

The policy brief is available only on the web, in draft form at www.ceip.org/iraq.

# # #

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

  • Soldier looking at a drone on the ground
    Commentary
    Emissary
    Are All Wars Now Drone Wars?

    From Sudan to Ukraine, UAVs have upended warfighting tactics and become one of the most destructive weapons of conflict.

      • Jon Bateman

      Jon Bateman, Steve Feldstein

  • Carney speaking on stage
    Commentary
    Emissary
    Carney’s Remarkable Message to Middle Powers

    And how they can respond.

      • +1

      Sophia Besch, Steve Feldstein, Stewart Patrick, …

  • Trump speaking on a stage
    Commentary
    Emissary
    The Greenland Episode Must Be a Lesson for Europe and NATO

    They cannot return to the comforts of asymmetric reliance, dressed up as partnership.

      Sophia Besch

  • The hollow dollar?
    Research
    The Hollow Dollar?

    While the dollar remains the world’s primary reserve currency, its centrality in international payments is increasingly contested.

      Alexander Evans

  • The U.S. Dollar System as a Source of International Disorder
    Research
    The U.S. Dollar System as a Source of International Disorder

    Dollar centrality was originally weaponized to help maintain global order. But as the United States increasingly exploits dollar centrality for purposes of national security, other countries will look to escape dollar power.

      Daniel Davies, Henry Farrell

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Carnegie global logo, stacked
1779 Massachusetts Avenue NWWashington, DC, 20036-2103Phone: 202 483 7600Fax: 202 483 1840
  • Research
  • Emissary
  • About
  • Experts
  • Donate
  • Programs
  • Events
  • Blogs
  • Podcasts
  • Contact
  • Annual Reports
  • Careers
  • Privacy
  • For Media
  • Government Resources
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.