Smoldering Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict Could Re-Erupt

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In The Media

Carnegie Europe

Smoldering Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict Could Re-Erupt

The unresolved Nagorno-Karabakh conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan has the potential to flare up again as tensions mount on their interstate border.

By Thomas de Waal

Published on Jun 5, 2012

Source: BBC World News

In an interview with BBC World News, Carnegie’s Thomas de Waal described the unresolved Nagorno-Karabakh conflict as a “smoldering conflict which may one day re-erupt.” Although a ceasefire was declared in 1994, the latest clashes on the border between Armenia and Azerbaijan add to the worry that “one day the fuses will blow” and war will once again break out in what is a “very sensitive region,” he noted.

While the three mediators in the peace process—Russia, the United States, and France—are certainly “heavyweight great powers,” they cannot facilitate a settlement as long as both sides are determined to emerge victorious. As a result, “Russia, the United States, and Europe are scratching their heads a bit at the moment as to how to stabilize the situation,” de Waal concluded.

About the Author

Thomas de Waal

Senior Fellow, Carnegie Europe

Thomas de Waal is a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe, specializing in Eastern Europe and the Caucasus.

Recent Work

Commentary
There Is No Shortcut for Europe in Armenia
- Thomas de Waal
Article
Rewiring the South Caucasus: TRIPP and the New Geopolitics of Connectivity
- Thomas de Waal, Areg Kochinyan, Zaur Shiriyev

Security Caucasus Azerbaijan Armenia

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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