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  • PCIO Baseline

    Measuring the Efficacy of Influence Operations Countermeasures: Key Findings and Gaps From Empirical Research

    Research shows that fact-checking can reduce the harmful impacts of false information. But beyond that, we know relatively little about the efficacy of counter-influence measures being implemented or considered by platforms, governments, and civil society.

  • A Better Australia Sub Deal

    We need an outcome where Australia gets the silent long-running submarines it needs; the United States, Britain and France get a strategic partner in the Indo-Pacific; and NATO Europe and the nuclear nonproliferation regime come away stronger.

  • Russia’s election apathy bodes ill for the country’s future

    By turning polls into rituals of anticipatory obedience, the Kremlin has disempowered and demotivated citizens

  • Chinese Mining and Indigenous Resistance in Ecuador

    • Cintia Quiliconi, Pablo Rodriguez Vasco
    • September 20, 2021

    Chinese mining conglomerates sought to adapt to local conditions by forging alliances with the Ecuadorian national government. But these Chinese efforts to leverage local players undercut and divided Indigenous opposition in unsustainable ways that have backfired.

  • Sub Snub Has Paris in a Tizzy Over AUKUS

    • Dan Baer
    • September 17, 2021
    • Foreign Policy

    The AUKUS announcement was not a slight to France or Europe—or, for that matter, to Canada, Japan, or South Korea. It strengthens the hand of all democracies in the Indo-Pacific, including the democracies that aren’t part of the arrangement.

  • American Power After Afghanistan

    Still, these shifts would amount to a dramatic alteration in U.S. practice since the end of the Cold War. America would no longer see itself as “the cop walking a global beat,” as neoconservatives would have it, nor would it shrink its core interests to defense against threats from China and Russia, as some realists have proposed.

  • American Power After Afghanistan

    For 30 years, since the end of the Cold War, the United States has searched unsuccessfully for a purpose for its now unrivaled global power.

  • It's Not All About Populism

    Despite increased threats to civil liberties, judicial independence, and civil society over the past decade, efforts to defend and rethink Europe’s democratic practices have also surged. To maintain this momentum and ultimately reverse democratic erosion, a more ambitious agenda of political reform is required.

  • The U.S.-China Trade War Has Become a Cold War

    The U.S.-China trade war hasn’t brought major economic wins to either country. For the United States, it may be time to focus on economic policy at home first.

  • How Syria Changed Turkey’s Foreign Policy

    In a bid to gain political ground at home, Ankara has launched multiple military operations in Syria. These have laid the groundwork for a more aggressive, nationalist foreign policy with profound implications for relations with the United States, Russia, and the EU.

  • Why North Korea’s New Cruise Missile Matters

    North Korea’s newest cruise missile test shows its nuclear capabilities are growing. Here’s what policymakers from the United States and elsewhere should do now to set up future negotiators for success.

  • Moving Closer: European Views of the Indo-Pacific

    • Frederic Grare, Manisha Reuter
    • September 13, 2021
    • European Council on Foreign Relations

    It will likely take more than a strong push from France, Germany, and the Netherlands to ensure that the EU implements a long-term strategy in the Indo-Pacific.

  • Understanding the Encryption Debate in India

    While some policymakers argue that encryption must only be weakened to solve specific problems, most experts agree that there is no technological solution that would weaken encryption for specific law enforcement and national security purposes, while managing to maintain preexisting levels of security and confidentiality for general use.

  • Strengthening Democracy Support in Regimes With Dominant Parties

    The rise of dominant political parties contributes to the resurgence of authoritarianism and impedes democracy support. Paying greater attention to party support and talks, elections, and direct activism in countries such as Georgia, Mozambique, Nicaragua, and Zimbabwe will advance sound governance and democracy.

  • Is There Any COVID-19 Vaccine Production in Africa?

    Efforts are being made to ramp up production of COVID-19 vaccines in Africa to address the continent’s low rate of vaccination. As of September 2021, there are at least twelve COVID-19 production facilities set up or in the pipeline across six African countries.

  • China's nuclear build-up: The great distraction

    We must keep a sharp eye on China’s nuclear deployments. But we have a long head start on them and can ensure that they do not surprise us in the nuclear space. If we fail to stay focused, we may find one day that they have achieved strategic superiority with entirely new military systems that we can neither defend against nor match.

  • Deciphering Iran’s Nuclear Strategy

    The IAEA director general and U.S. secretary of state have recently voiced heightened concerns over the direction of Iran’s nuclear program and frustrations with the lack of diplomatic progress. Yet these developments are entirely predictable for those who closely study the logic behind Iran’s nuclear ambitions and patterns of behavior.

  • Lessons from Afghanistan

    America’s war in Afghanistan exhibits the danger of prolonging a combat mission past the point where its objective can be clearly defined and verifiably achieved, even when a record of success to date makes the cost of continuing into the future appear to be low.

  • The modern obsession with security didn’t begin after 9/11

    But if the problem is more fundamental, and stems from the very constitution of the modern nation-state and its disregard for the integrity of robust civil society groups, rooted in a proper sense of the importance of individual and community, that’s a harder problem to solve. Maybe that’s why we ignore it — but we do so at our peril.

  • The day that reshaped two decades of academia

    If anything, the trend seems to be more, not less, securitisation of communities within the US and elsewhere; and a continual dehumanisation of peoples in parts of the world that bear the impact, day in and day out, of the "war on terror". In many ways, I am forced to ask: isn’t what the terrorists wanted us to do?

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