• Research
  • Emissary
  • About
  • Experts
Carnegie Global logoCarnegie lettermark logo
DemocracyIran
  • Donate
China—United States: Resetting a Positive Course

Source: Getty

Article
Carnegie China

China—United States: Resetting a Positive Course

The Obama administration will use an upcoming series of high-level diplomatic meetings to try to redirect relations with China in a more positive direction and move beyond recent tensions in the bilateral relationship.

Link Copied
By Douglas H. Paal
Published on Sep 1, 2010
Program mobile hero image

Program

Asia

The Asia Program in Washington studies disruptive security, governance, and technological risks that threaten peace, growth, and opportunity in the Asia-Pacific region, including a focus on China, Japan, and the Korean peninsula.

Learn More

Last week, the Obama administration seized the opportunity of a visit by the Chinese official most directly responsible for daily dealings with the United States to try to redirect relations with China in a more positive direction from the bumpy course of the past few months. Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Cui Tiankai was told during his Washington stay that the two sides should now focus on how to make next year’s visit to the United States by Chinese President Hu Jintao a success.

This effort by the Obama team to send a consistent, upbeat message to Vice Minster Cui is intended to pull United States–China relations out of the contest of wills that media and officials in both countries have been making of it. U.S. frustration and disappointment have run high over China’s unwillingness to separate itself from North Korea’s sinking of the South Korean corvette Cheon’an. Joint U.S.–South Korean exercises to deter further aggression by Pyongyang produced vocal Chinese warnings against exercising in the Yellow Sea. Then, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s warning against unilateral attempts to change the status of claims in the South China Sea produced another round of recriminations.

Emerging from this round of charges and countercharges with neither side having yielded to the other, Obama’s Asia team is seeking to persuade China to accentuate the positive through a series of upcoming exchanges. The first will be this coming weekend, when Deputy National Security Advisor Thomas Donilon and National Economic Council Advisor Lawrence Summers lead a small delegation to Beijing.

Donilon and Summers are very high ranking officials in the U.S. system and can be expected to be received at appropriately high levels in China. They are likely to use this visit to disabuse China’s leadership of any notions of new American hostility, while expressing resolution to pursue vigorously and prudently U.S. maritime, defense, and other interests in the region. Summers will have the particularly challenging responsibility to convince the Chinese that America’s best economic days are not behind it and that Obama is putting the U.S. economy back on track after the regulatory and other failures of the past few years.

The two will also try to flesh out the possibilities for what can be achieved during the state visit by President Hu. This trip is a chance for both sides to display their “wish lists.”

Early indications are that China’s officials are receptive to the Obama initiative to put relations on a positive course and will try to redirect Chinese public attention away from the negative chorus of the past months. It will be interesting to observe whether China will follow past precedent and try to portray the Donilon-Summers visit as a U.S. concession to which China is responding graciously. Another alternative would be for the United States to say that sending Vice Minister Cui to Washington indicated Beijing made the first concession. Good diplomacy, of course, will avoid having either side play the game of who “cried uncle” first.

The next four months will produce a sequence of opportunities to reset the relationship.  Premier Wen Jiabao will attend the UN General Assembly in New York in late September and President Obama is expected to meet with him bilaterally to press the U.S. agenda—from international finance, to bilateral trade issues, to sanctions on Iran.

Senior officials from Commerce will travel to Beijing in October to participate in the Joint Committee on Commerce and Trade. This is the primary venue for resolving thorny trade issues short of taking them to arbitration by the World Trade Organization’s contentious dispute mechanism. The growing list of issues being raised by the U.S. business community about obstacles in the Chinese market would be a natural focus, as the United States urges China to demonstrate good intentions through positive remedies.

There will be an ASEAN defense ministers’ meeting in October in Hanoi, where Vietnam’s ostensibly neutral territory could permit a tentative renewal of strained military-to-military ties between U.S. and Chinese defense officials. Chinese officers have recently discussed holding Defense Consultative Talks in Washington this fall at the level of undersecretary for political affairs. And a visit to China by Defense Secretary Robert Gates should not be ruled out before the end of the year. U.S. officials are arguing to the Chinese that stable military relations are a prerequisite for potential strategic partners and a positive state visit.

In November, Presidents Hu and Obama themselves will meet on the margins of the APEC Leaders’ Meeting in Yokohama and at the G20 meeting in South Korea. Again, the two will have an interest in advancing positive movement on their issues, especially with President Hu preparing to make his last state visit to the United States before he leaves office an important part of his political and foreign policy legacy.

There will be other exchanges at various official levels that are too numerous to list here, but which will form the elements of the “positive, cooperative, and comprehensive” relationship promised during President Obama’s state visit to Beijing in November 2009. If the U.S. effort to set a positive course takes hold, the two leaders can sum up the results and give instructions to take it forward from the winter summit in Washington to the Strategic and Economic Dialogue in late May or early June of next year. 

About the Author

Douglas H. Paal

Distinguished Fellow, Asia Program

Paal previously served as vice chairman of JPMorgan Chase International and as unofficial U.S. representative to Taiwan as director of the American Institute in Taiwan.

    Recent Work

  • Paper
    America’s Future in a Dynamic Asia

      Douglas H. Paal

  • Q&A
    U.S.-China Relations at the Forty-Year Mark
      • +1

      Douglas H. Paal, Tong Zhao, Chen Qi, …

Douglas H. Paal
Distinguished Fellow, Asia Program
Douglas H. Paal
North AmericaUnited StatesEast AsiaChinaForeign Policy

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    What’s Having More Impact on Russian Oil Export Revenues: Ukrainian Strikes or Rising Prices?

    Although Ukrainian strikes have led to a noticeable decline in the physical volume of Russian oil exports, the rise in prices has more than made up for it.

      • Sergey Vakulenko

      Sergey Vakulenko

  • Shipping port at dawn from above
    Commentary
    Emissary
    The U.S. Export-Import Bank Was Built for a Different Era. Here's How to Fix It.

    Five problems—and solutions—to make it actually work as a tool of great power competition.

      • Afren Akhter

      Afreen Akhter

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    Russia Is Meddling for Meddling’s Sake in the Middle East

    The Russian leadership wants to avoid a dangerous precedent in which it is squeezed out of Iran by the United States and Israel—and left powerless to respond in any meaningful way.

      Nikita Smagin

  • Man speaking into two mics
    Commentary
    Emissary
    Three Scenarios for the Gulf States After the Iran War

    One is hopeful. One is realistic. One is cautionary.

      • Andrew Leber

      Andrew Leber, Sam Worby

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    The Fog of AI War

    In Ukraine, Gaza, and Iran, AI warfare has come to dominate, with barely any oversight or accountability. Europe must lead the charge on the responsible use of new military technologies.

      Raluca Csernatoni

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Carnegie global logo, stacked
1779 Massachusetts Avenue NWWashington, DC, 20036-2103Phone: 202 483 7600Fax: 202 483 1840
  • Research
  • Emissary
  • About
  • Experts
  • Donate
  • Programs
  • Events
  • Blogs
  • Podcasts
  • Contact
  • Annual Reports
  • Careers
  • Privacy
  • For Media
  • Government Resources
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.