Speaking to NHK, Carnegie’s Douglas Paal argued that the upcoming summit between China and Taiwan may negatively affect Taiwan’s governing Kuomintang, or Nationalist Party, in next year’s presidential election.

Paal highlighted how the summit is a high-stakes gamble on the part of the Kuomintang. The opposition Democratic Progressive Party has been accusing Ma of doing things secretly without the consent of the people and the summit will be an occasion to emphasize Chinese President Xi’s support for Taiwan’s President Ma, who has been working to improve ties between Taiwan and China.

The interview can be viewed on NHK World.